La Liga Spain

24.04.2026 19:00 UTC Match prediction Prediction

24.04.2026 19:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Реал Бетис - Real Madrid

Spain Futbol

Stadium Олимпийский стадион

Referee César Soto Grado

Реал Бетис

1 : 1

Finished

Real Madrid

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Low confidence

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

2 Real Madrid — 54%

1 · Реал Бетис22.6%

X · draw23.9%

2 · Real Madrid53.6%

Model estimate: win Реал Бетис 22.6%, draw 23.9%, win Real Madrid 53.6%. Model favourite — Real Madrid.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Реал Бетис - Real Madrid 24 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Strongest: Real Madrid - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.55 / X 4.02 / 2 1.87
1X2 market: Реал Бетис 26.5% / X 23.4% / Real Madrid 50.1%
Glicko: Реал Бетис 22.6% / X 23.9% / Real Madrid 53.6%
Total 2.5: over probability 80.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 6.5%

1 26.4%

X 23.4%

2 50.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.8%

Over 2.5 62.4%

Under 2.5 37.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П2

Main outcome П2

Agreement 4/4

Confidence 52.2%

Total ТБ 2.5

Score 1:2

Модели дают единый сигнал. Такие матчи мы помечаем как более сильные.

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Match center

Start 24.04.2026 19:00 UTC

Stadium Олимпийский стадион (Севилья)

Referee César Soto Grado

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🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Real Madrid 54%

💹 Market Real Madrid 5010%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Реал Бетис - Real Madrid

Real Betis: Победа 3.60 Real Betis: Ничья 4.20 Real Madrid Победа: 1.85 Общий тотал голов больше 3.5: 2.30 Общий тотал голов меньше 3.5: 1.62 Индивидуальный тотал голов Real Betis больше 1.5: 2.38 Индивидуальный тотал голов Real Betis меньше 1.5: 1.53 Индивидуальный тотал голов …

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 1:1

Events 14

Statistics 24

Lineups 43

min Event Player Team

17' 17' Normal Goal | Vinicius Junior J. Bowen Real Madrid

32' 32' Substitution 1 | M. Bartra | assist/sub out: Diego Llorente J. Olaizola Real Betis

38' 38' Yellow Card | Sofyan Amrabat Real Betis

40' 40' Yellow Card | D. Huijsen Real Madrid

46' 46' Substitution 2 | A. Fidalgo | assist/sub out: Marc Roca C. Talbi Real Betis

46' 46' Substitution 3 | C. Bakambu | assist/sub out: Cucho Hernández E. Molébé Real Betis

68' 68' Substitution 6 | P. Fornals | assist/sub out: Giovani Lo Celso Luca Marianucci Real Betis

72' 72' Yellow Card | Trent Alexander-Arnold Real Madrid

Metric Реал Бетис Real Madrid SStats

Ожидаемые голы (xG) 1.08 1.19 final

Заблокированные удары 5 2 final

Удары мимо 10 2 final

Удары в створ 4 8 final

Удары всего 19 12 final

Фолы совершено 10 8 final

Желтые карточки 1 2 final

Офсайды 1 3 final

Real Betis #5 J. Bellingham, #7 Vinicius Junior, #8 F. Valverde, #10 K. Mbappe, #12 T. Alexander-Arnold, #13 A. Lunin, #21 B. Diaz, #22 A. Rüdiger, #23 F. Mendy, #24 D. Huijsen, #45 Thiago Pitarch

Real Madrid #1 Álvaro Vallés, #2 Héctor Bellerín, #4 Natan, #5 Marc Bartra, #7 Antony, #8 Pablo Fornals, #10 A. Ezzalzouli, #11 C. Bakambu, #12 R. Rodriguez, #14 S. Amrabat, #15 Álvaro Fidalgo

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Carreras Real Betis Сейвы 0

A. Lunin Real Betis football.player.assists 0

A. Lunin Real Betis Дриблинг попытки 1

A. Lunin Real Betis Единоборства выиграно 1

A. Lunin Real Betis Сейвы 1

A. Lunin Real Betis football.player.minutes_played 90

A. Lunin Real Betis Ключевые пасы 31

A. Lunin Real Betis Рейтинг 3

A. Lunin Real Betis Рейтинг (старый) 7.7

A. Lunin Real Betis Блоки 1

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Реал Бетис 26.4% 22.6%

Draw 22.8% 23.9% draw risk

Real Madrid 50.8% 53.6% market and model agree

xG - 1.02 : 1.72

Total 2.5 Over 80.5% - Under 19.5%

Model check - - Difference 0.04

The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.04

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 22.6% / 23.9% / 53.6% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,562 / 1,686 Real Betis / Real Madrid

RD 72 / 79 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.87 market consensus · no value · model 53.6%

X 4.02 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 3.55 market consensus · no value · model 22.6%

Double chance

X2 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 77.5%

12 1.23 market consensus · no value · model 76.1%

1X 1.90 market consensus · no value · model 46.4%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.28 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.07 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only

2 +1 2.52 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.50 market consensus · value +20.8% · model 80.5%

Under 2.5 2.49 market consensus · no value · model 19.5%

Both teams to score

No 2.52 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.48 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
П1	3.45 29.0%	3.74 26.7%	3.40 29.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.65 27.4%	3.60 27.8%
Х	3.95 25.3%	4.32 23.2%	3.90 25.6%	4.20 23.8%	4.10 24.4%	4.00 25.0%
П2	1.90 52.6%	1.94 51.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.88 53.2%	1.91 52.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	2.55 39.2%	2.53 39.5%	2.50 40.0%	2.38 42.0%	2.40 41.7%	2.63 38.0%	2.55 39.2%	2.49 40.2%	2.63 38.0%
yes	1.48 67.6%	1.47 68.0%	1.50 66.7%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.47 68.0%	1.44 69.4%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.30 76.9%	1.32 75.8%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.31 76.3%	1.25 80.0%
home_away	1.20 83.3%	1.26 79.4%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.22 82.0%
home_draw	1.85 54.1%	1.96 51.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.95 51.3%	1.83 54.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
ТБ 0.5	—	1.02 98.0%
ТБ 1.0	—	1.03 97.1%
ТБ 1.5	1.17 85.5%	1.10 90.9%
ТБ 1.75	—	1.12 89.3%
ТБ 2.0	—	1.16 86.2%
ТБ 2.25	—	1.32 75.8%
ТБ 2.5	1.50 66.7%	1.47 68.0%
ТБ 2.75	—	1.60 62.5%
ТБ 3.5	2.30 43.5%	—
ТБ 4.5	3.95 25.3%	—
ТБ 5.5	7.50 13.3%	—
ТМ 1.5	5.00 20.0%	—
ТМ 2.5	2.50 40.0%	—
ТМ 3.5	1.60 62.5%	—
ТМ 4.5	1.25 80.0%	—
ТМ 5.5	1.08 92.6%	—

Match center

Реал Бетис

Founded 1907

Real Madrid

Founded 1902

Match center

Реал Бетис

W D D L D

21.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Реал Бетис 3:2 Girona

12.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Реал Бетис 1:1 Osasuna

04.04 16:30 UTC La Liga

Реал Бетис 0:0 Espanyol

22.03 17:30 UTC La Liga

Реал Бетис 1:2 Athletic Club

15.03 17:30 UTC La Liga

Реал Бетис 1:1 Selta

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.2 Conceded

6 Points

Real Madrid

W D L W W

21.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:1 Alaves

10.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 1:1 Girona

04.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 1:2 Mallorca

22.03 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 3:2 Atletiko Madrid

14.03 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 4:1 Эльче

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyРеал Бетис - Real Madrid

Реал Бетис

2 matches total

Real Madrid

Реал Бетис: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Real Madrid: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Real Madrid 1:5 (04.01 15:15 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 6 goals (1:5, 04.01 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 7

7 Goals conceded 1

Match history

04.01 15:15 UTC

La Liga

Реал Бетис

1:5

Real Madrid

01.09 19:30 UTC

La Liga

Реал Бетис

0:2

Real Madrid

Match center

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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.