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La Liga
La Liga Spain
19.09.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
19.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Betis - Real Sociedad

Spain Football
Real Betis
Real Betis
3 : 1
Finished
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Betis - Real Sociedad September 19, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Betis.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Betis. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.94 / X 3.66 / 2 3.85
  • 1X2 market: Real Betis 49.2% / X 26.0% / Real Sociedad 24.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 49.2%
X 26.1%
2 24.8%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.9%
Over 2.5 53.7%
Under 2.5 46.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 19.09.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Real Betis - Real Sociedad

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.86 market consensus · line only
X 3.67 market consensus · line only
1 1.93 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.28 market consensus · line only
1X 1.27 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.92 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.47 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.64 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.40 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.08 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.15 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.66 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.92 52.1%
X 3.82 26.2%
4.03 24.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.91 52.4% 1.90 52.6% 1.99 50.3% 1.91 52.4% 2.00 50.0% 1.91 52.4%
X 3.65 27.4% 3.75 26.7% 3.81 26.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.70 27.0%
3.80 26.3% 4.00 25.0% 4.00 25.0% 3.75 26.7% 3.60 27.8% 3.90 25.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Dafabet Marathonbet
no 2.15 46.5% 2.32 43.1% 2.18 45.9% 2.15 46.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.20 45.5% 2.20 45.5% 1.98 50.5% 2.16 46.3%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.84 54.4% 1.62 61.7%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Dafabet
draw_away 1.85 54.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.93 51.8% 1.68 59.5%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.27 78.7% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
Real Betis
D L D W D
14.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 2:2 LevanteLevante
31.08 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
27.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:1 SeltaSelta
22.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:0 AlavesAlaves
18.08 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Betis 1:1 ElcheElche
1 Wins
3 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
6 Points
Real Sociedad
L L D D L
13.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
30.08 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 OviedoOviedo
24.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 2:2 EspanyolEspanyol
16.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 ValenciaValencia
24.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Betis - Real Sociedad

Real Betis
0 matches total
Real Sociedad
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history