Match center
Start
24.09.2024 19:00 UTC
24.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Real Madrid - Alaves
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Madrid - Alaves 24 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.15 / X 8.30 / 2 21.41
- 1X2 market: Real Madrid 83.9% / X 11.6% / Alaves 4.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.7%
1
83.9%
X
11.6%
2
4.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Real Madrid - Alaves
Form
3/3
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
8.30
market consensus · line only
1
1.15
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
5.96
market consensus · line only
12
1.11
market consensus · line only
1X
1.03
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.15 87.0% |
| Х | 8.30 12.1% |
| П2 | 21.41 4.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 5.96 16.8% |
| home_away | 1.11 90.1% |
| home_draw | 1.03 97.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 3.5 | 2.18 45.9% |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.74 57.5% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.03 97.1% |
| П2 | 18.23 5.5% |
Match center
Real Madrid
W
W
W
21.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
4:1
Espanyol
Espanyol
14.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
01.09 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
3
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.7
Scored
0.3
Conceded
9
Points
Alaves
W
L
W
20.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
2:1
Sevilla
Sevilla
14.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
2:3
Espanyol
Espanyol
01.09 15:00 UTC
La Liga
Alaves
2:0
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
2
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.3
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Alaves
Real Madrid
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals