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La Liga
La Liga Spain
20.04.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction
20.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Madrid - Athletic Club

Spain Football
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
1 : 0
Finished
Athletic Club
Athletic Club

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Athletic Club April 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 4.13 / 2 5.82
  • 1X2 market: Real Madrid 59.9% / X 23.5% / Athletic Club 16.7%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 59.9%
X 23.5%
2 16.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.3%
Over 2.5 54.1%
Under 2.5 45.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.04.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Real Madrid - Athletic Club

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.82 market consensus · line only
X 4.13 market consensus · line only
1 1.62 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.17 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.79 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.62 61.7%
X 4.13 24.2%
5.82 17.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.44 41.0%
home_away 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.17 85.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.79 55.9%
Under 2.5 2.11 47.4%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.24 80.7%
4.45 22.5%
Match center
Real Madrid
W L L W W
13.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:0 AlavesAlaves
05.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:2 ValenciaValencia
26.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 0:4 BarselonaBarselona
19.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:1 SeltaSelta
05.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:0 VillarrealVillarreal
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Athletic Club
W D D W L
13.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 3:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
06.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:0 VillarrealVillarreal
28.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:0 MallorcaMallorca
19.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 4:1 EspanyolEspanyol
06.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:2 GironaGirona
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points