Match center
Start
22.03.2026 20:00 UTC
22.03.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Real Madrid - Атлетико Мадрид
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Madrid - Атлетико Мадрид 22 марта 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.84 / X 4.05 / 2 3.91
- 1X2 market: Real Madrid 52.0% / X 23.6% / Атлетико Мадрид 24.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 62.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.6%
1
52.0%
X
23.6%
2
24.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5
61.9%
Under 2.5
38.1%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Real Madrid - Атлетико Мадрид
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.89
market consensus · line only
X
4.05
market consensus · line only
1
1.84
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.97
market consensus · line only
12
1.24
market consensus · line only
1X
1.26
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
2.02
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.57
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.67
market consensus · line only
2 +1
7.07
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.52
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.47
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.50
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.50
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.92 52.1% |
| Х | 4.18 23.9% |
| П2 | 3.55 28.2% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.78 56.2% | 1.84 54.4% | 1.88 53.2% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.87 53.5% |
| Х | 4.00 25.0% | 4.15 24.1% | 4.18 23.9% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.15 24.1% |
| П2 | 3.85 26.0% | 3.95 25.3% | 4.08 24.5% | 3.70 27.0% | 3.75 26.7% | 4.00 25.0% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.40 41.7% | 2.60 38.5% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.38 42.0% | 2.45 40.8% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.53 39.5% |
| yes | 1.53 65.4% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.53 65.4% | 1.52 65.8% | 1.44 69.4% | 1.47 68.0% | 1.52 65.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.95 51.3% | 2.02 49.5% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.91 52.4% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_draw | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.22 82.0% |
Match center
Real Madrid
W
W
L
L
W
14.03 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
4:1
Эльче
Эльче
06.03 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:1
Selta
Selta
02.03 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
0:1
Getafe
Getafe
21.02 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:2
Osasuna
Osasuna
14.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
4:1
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.2
Conceded
9
Points
Атлетико Мадрид
W
W
W
W
L
14.03 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:0
Getafe
Getafe
07.03 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
3:2
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
28.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:0
Oviedo
Oviedo
21.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
4:2
Espanyol
Espanyol
15.02 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
0:3
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
4
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
1.8
Scored
1.4
Conceded
12
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Атлетико Мадрид
Real Madrid
2
matches total
Real Madrid: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Атлетико Мадрид: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Atletiko Madrid 2:5 (27.09 14:15 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
7 goals (2:5, 27.09 14:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (29.09 19:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
27.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:5
Atletiko Madrid
29.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:1
Atletiko Madrid