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La Liga
La Liga Spain
26.10.2024 19:00 UTC Match prediction
26.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Madrid - Barcelona

Spain Football
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
0 : 4
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Barcelona October 26, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / X 4.17 / 2 3.80
  • 1X2 market: Real Madrid 51.1% / X 23.3% / Barcelona 25.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 51.1%
X 23.3%
2 25.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 26.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Match center

Real Madrid - Barcelona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.80 market consensus · line only
X 4.17 market consensus · line only
1 1.90 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.98 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.31 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.90 52.6%
X 4.17 24.0%
3.80 26.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.98 50.5%
home_away 1.27 78.7%
home_draw 1.31 76.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.07 48.3%
Under 3.5 1.83 54.6%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.45 69.0%
2.89 34.6%
Match center
Real Madrid
W W D W W
19.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:1 SeltaSelta
05.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:0 VillarrealVillarreal
29.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
24.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 3:2 AlavesAlaves
21.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 4:1 EspanyolEspanyol
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
2.4 Scored
1.0 Conceded
13 Points
Barcelona
W W L W W
20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 5:1 SevillaSevilla
06.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 AlavesAlaves
28.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:4 OsasunaOsasuna
25.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:0 GetafeGetafe
22.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 5:1 VillarrealVillarreal
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
3.2 Scored
1.2 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Barcelona

Real Madrid
0 matches total
Barcelona
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history