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La Liga Spain

26.10.2025 15:15 UTC Match prediction

26.10.2025 15:15 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Madrid - Barcelona

Spain Football

Real Madrid

2 : 1

Finished

Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Barcelona October 26, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.90 / X 4.25 / 2 3.49
1X2 market: Real Madrid 50.2% / X 22.5% / Barcelona 27.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 73.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 50.2%

X 22.4%

2 27.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.1%

Over 2.5 73.6%

Under 2.5 26.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 26.10.2025 15:15 UTC

Match center

Real Madrid - Barcelona

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.49 market consensus · line only

X 4.26 market consensus · line only

1 1.90 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.93 market consensus · line only

12 1.23 market consensus · line only

1X 1.31 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.99 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.57 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.36 market consensus · line only

2 +1 5.58 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.28 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.57 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 3.42 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.89 52.9%
X	4.46 22.4%
	3.62 27.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.89 52.9%	1.88 53.2%	1.94 51.6%	1.85 54.1%	1.85 54.1%	1.93 51.8%
X	4.20 23.8%	4.40 22.7%	4.47 22.4%	4.00 25.0%	4.20 23.8%	4.35 23.0%
	3.45 29.0%	3.50 28.6%	3.62 27.6%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	3.35 29.9%	3.70 27.0%	3.40 29.4%	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.34 29.9%	3.61 27.7%
yes	1.28 78.1%	1.28 78.1%	1.28 78.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.29 77.5%	1.28 78.1%	1.32 75.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.85 54.1%	1.96 51.0%	1.85 54.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.93 51.8%	2.00 50.0%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.22 82.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.26 79.4%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.28 78.1%	1.32 75.8%	1.35 74.1%

Match center

Real Madrid

W W L W W

19.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 1:0 Getafe

04.10 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 3:1 Villarreal

27.09 14:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:5 Atletiko Madrid

23.09 19:30 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 4:1 Levante

20.09 14:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Espanyol

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

12 Points

Barcelona

W L W W W

18.10 14:15 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 2:1 Girona

05.10 14:15 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 1:4 Sevilla

28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 2:1 Real Sociedad

25.09 19:30 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 3:1 Oviedo

21.09 19:00 UTC La Liga

Barcelona 3:0 Getafe

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

12 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Barcelona

Real Madrid

2 matches total

Barcelona

Real Madrid: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Barcelona: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Barselona 0:4 (26.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 7 goals (3:4, 11.05 14:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 8

8 Goals conceded 3

Match history

11.05 14:15 UTC

La Liga

Real Madrid

3:4

Barselona

26.10 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Real Madrid

0:4

Barselona