Match center
Start
04.05.2025 12:00 UTC
04.05.2025 12:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Real Madrid - Celta Vigo
3
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Madrid - Celta Vigo 4 мая 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.38 / X 5.69 / 2 7.46
- 1X2 market: Real Madrid 70.1% / X 17.0% / Celta Vigo 13.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.4%
1
70.1%
X
17.0%
2
13.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Real Madrid - Celta Vigo
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
7.46
market consensus · line only
X
5.69
market consensus · line only
1
1.38
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.27
market consensus · line only
12
1.17
market consensus · line only
1X
1.12
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.38 72.5% |
| Х | 5.69 17.6% |
| П2 | 7.46 13.4% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.27 30.6% |
| home_away | 1.17 85.5% |
| home_draw | 1.12 89.3% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 3.5 | 2.00 50.0% |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.90 52.6% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.15 87.0% |
| П2 | 6.16 16.2% |
Match center
Real Madrid
W
W
W
L
L
23.04 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:0
Getafe
Getafe
20.04 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
13.04 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:0
Alaves
Alaves
05.04 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:2
Valencia
Valencia
26.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
0:4
Barselona
Barselona
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.2
Conceded
9
Points
Celta Vigo
W
L
L
W
L
23.04 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
3:0
Villarreal
Villarreal
19.04 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
3:4
Barselona
Barselona
12.04 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
0:2
Espanyol
Espanyol
05.04 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
2:1
Mallorca
Mallorca
27.10 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
0:3
Leganes
2
Wins
0
Draws
3
Losses
1.6
Scored
2.0
Conceded
6
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
1
matches total
Real Madrid: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Real Madrid 2:1 (19.10 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 19.10 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
19.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:1
Selta