Match center
Start
07.12.2025 20:00 UTC
07.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Real Madrid - Celta Vigo
0
:
2
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Madrid - Celta Vigo 7 декабря 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.26 / X 6.24 / 2 10.22
- 1X2 market: Real Madrid 75.3% / X 15.3% / Celta Vigo 9.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 68.1%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.2%
1
75.5%
X
15.2%
2
9.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.5%
Over 2.5
68.1%
Under 2.5
31.9%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Real Madrid - Celta Vigo
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
9.64
market consensus · line only
X
6.24
market consensus · line only
1
1.27
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.84
market consensus · line only
12
1.13
market consensus · line only
1X
1.06
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.66
market consensus · line only
2 -1
3.03
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
6.95
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.27
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.38
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.94
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.03
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.75
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.29 77.5% |
| Х | 6.23 16.1% |
| П2 | 9.92 10.1% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.24 80.7% | 1.29 77.5% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.30 76.9% |
| Х | 6.40 15.6% | 6.40 15.6% | 6.55 15.3% | 5.75 17.4% | 6.50 15.4% | 6.30 15.9% |
| П2 | 10.25 9.8% | 9.00 11.1% | 12.10 8.3% | 10.00 10.0% | 9.50 10.5% | 10.25 9.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.02 49.5% | 2.09 47.9% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% | 1.79 55.9% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.79 55.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.75 26.7% | 4.08 24.5% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.75 26.7% | 3.75 26.7% | 4.15 24.1% |
| home_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.13 88.5% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.05 95.2% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.07 93.5% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.05 95.2% |
Match center
Real Madrid
W
D
D
D
W
03.12 18:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
3:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
30.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:1
Girona
Girona
23.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:2
Эльче
Эльче
09.11 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
0:0
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
01.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
4:0
Valencia
Valencia
2
Wins
3
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.6
Conceded
9
Points
Celta Vigo
L
W
L
W
W
30.11 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
0:1
Espanyol
Espanyol
22.11 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
1:0
Alaves
Alaves
09.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
2:4
Barselona
Barselona
02.11 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
2:1
Леванте
Леванте
26.10 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
3:2
Osasuna
Osasuna
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.6
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Celta Vigo
Real Madrid
2
matches total
Real Madrid: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Celta Vigo: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Real Madrid 3:2 (04.05 12:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (3:2, 04.05 12:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
04.05 12:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Real Madrid
3:2
Selta
19.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:1
Selta