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La Liga Spain

14.03.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

14.03.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Madrid - Elche

Spain Football

Real Madrid

4 : 1

Finished

Elche

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Elche March 14, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.31 / X 5.95 / 2 9.30
1X2 market: Real Madrid 73.5% / X 16.2% / Elche 10.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 65.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%

1 73.5%

X 16.2%

2 10.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 7.1%

Over 2.5 65.8%

Under 2.5 34.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 14.03.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Real Madrid - Elche

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.33 market consensus · line only

X 5.99 market consensus · line only

1 1.31 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 3.56 market consensus · line only

12 1.16 market consensus · line only

1X 1.08 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 3.49 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.76 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.32 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.43 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.42 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.73 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.01 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.30 76.9%
X	6.28 15.9%
	9.49 10.5%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%	1.30 76.9%
X	6.00 16.7%	6.12 16.3%	5.50 18.2%	5.95 16.8%	6.28 15.9%	6.28 15.9%
	9.50 10.5%	9.95 10.1%	8.00 12.5%	9.70 10.3%	9.49 10.5%	9.49 10.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	2.00 50.0%	1.98 50.5%	2.05 48.8%	1.96 51.0%	2.08 48.1%	2.00 50.0%
yes	1.81 55.3%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.81 55.3%	1.75 57.1%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Bet365	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	3.64 27.5%	3.00 33.3%	3.70 27.0%	3.96 25.3%	3.96 25.3%	3.10 32.3%
home_away	1.16 86.2%	1.17 85.5%	1.15 87.0%	1.15 87.0%	1.15 87.0%	1.17 85.5%
home_draw	1.07 93.5%	1.10 90.9%	1.07 93.5%	1.08 92.6%	1.08 92.6%	1.10 90.9%

Match center

Real Madrid

W L L W W

06.03 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:1 Selta

02.03 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 0:1 Getafe

21.02 17:30 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 1:2 Osasuna

14.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad

08.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Valencia

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

9 Points

Elche

L D L D L

08.03 13:00 UTC La Liga

Elche 1:2 Villarreal

01.03 13:00 UTC La Liga

Elche 2:2 Espanyol

20.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Elche 1:2 Athletic Club

13.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Elche 0:0 Osasuna

07.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Elche 1:3 Real Sociedad

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.8 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Elche

Real Madrid

1 matches total

Elche

Real Madrid: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (100%)

Elche: 0 (0%)

Biggest win — largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (2:2, 23.11 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 2:2 (23.11 20:00 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 2

Match history

23.11 20:00 UTC

La Liga

Real Madrid

2:2

Elche