Match center
Start
21.09.2024 19:00 UTC
21.09.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Real Madrid - Espanyol
4
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Madrid - Espanyol 21 сентября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.13 / X 9.81 / 2 21.39
- 1X2 market: Real Madrid 85.6% / X 9.9% / Espanyol 4.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.4%
1
85.6%
X
9.9%
2
4.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Real Madrid - Espanyol
Form
2/1
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
9.81
market consensus · line only
1
1.13
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
6.61
market consensus · line only
12
1.09
market consensus · line only
1X
1.03
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.13 88.5% |
| Х | 9.81 10.2% |
| П2 | 21.39 4.7% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 6.61 15.1% |
| home_away | 1.09 91.7% |
| home_draw | 1.03 97.1% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 3.5 | 1.93 51.8% |
| ТМ 3.5 | 1.95 51.3% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.03 97.1% |
| П2 | 17.91 5.6% |
Match center
Real Madrid
W
W
14.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
01.09 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
2
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.0
Conceded
6
Points
Espanyol
W
14.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Espanyol
3:2
Alaves
Alaves
1
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
3.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
3
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Espanyol
Real Madrid
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals