Match center
Start
20.09.2025 14:15 UTC
20.09.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Real Madrid - Espanyol
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Madrid - Espanyol 20 сентября 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.22 / X 7.15 / 2 13.36
- 1X2 market: Real Madrid 79.2% / X 13.5% / Espanyol 7.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 67.7%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.4%
1
79.2%
X
13.5%
2
7.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.3%
Over 2.5
67.7%
Under 2.5
32.3%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Real Madrid - Espanyol
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
7.18
market consensus · line only
1
1.21
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
4.67
market consensus · line only
12
1.12
market consensus · line only
1X
1.04
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -1
3.69
market consensus · line only
1 -1
1.26
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.39
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.91
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.87
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.89
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.20 83.3% |
| Х | 7.40 13.5% |
| П2 | 15.00 6.7% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.22 82.0% | 1.24 80.7% | 1.21 82.6% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.20 83.3% | 1.22 82.0% |
| Х | 7.00 14.3% | 7.37 13.6% | 7.20 13.9% | 7.40 13.5% | 7.40 13.5% | 6.50 15.4% |
| П2 | 12.50 8.0% | 13.40 7.5% | 13.25 7.6% | 15.00 6.7% | 15.00 6.7% | 11.00 9.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 188Bet | 1xBet | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.88 53.2% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.82 55.0% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.95 51.3% |
| yes | 1.93 51.8% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.88 53.2% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.75 57.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 1xBet | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | SStats Consensus | William Hill |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 4.52 22.1% | 4.70 21.3% | 4.97 20.1% | 4.97 20.1% | 4.20 23.8% |
| home_away | 1.12 89.3% | 1.11 90.1% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.13 88.5% | 1.11 90.1% |
| home_draw | 1.05 95.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.04 96.2% | 1.05 95.2% |
Match center
Real Madrid
W
W
W
W
W
13.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:1
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
30.08 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:1
Mallorca
Mallorca
24.08 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
3:0
Oviedo
Oviedo
19.08 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:0
Osasuna
Osasuna
24.05 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
0.4
Conceded
15
Points
Espanyol
W
W
D
W
W
15.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Espanyol
3:2
Mallorca
Mallorca
31.08 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Espanyol
1:0
Osasuna
Osasuna
24.08 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Espanyol
2:2
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
17.08 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Espanyol
2:1
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
24.05 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Espanyol
2:0
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.0
Scored
1.0
Conceded
13
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Espanyol
Real Madrid
1
matches total
Real Madrid: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Espanyol: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Real Madrid 4:1 (21.09 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (4:1, 21.09 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
21.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Real Madrid
4:1
Espanyol