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La Liga Spain

02.03.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

02.03.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Madrid - Getafe

Spain Football

Real Madrid

0 : 1

Finished

Getafe

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Getafe March 2, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.35 / X 4.81 / 2 9.88
1X2 market: Real Madrid 70.5% / X 19.9% / Getafe 9.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 70.6%

X 19.8%

2 9.6%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%

Over 2.5 49.6%

Under 2.5 50.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 02.03.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Real Madrid - Getafe

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 9.71 market consensus · line only

X 4.82 market consensus · line only

1 1.35 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 3.23 market consensus · line only

12 1.18 market consensus · line only

1X 1.06 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 3.21 market consensus · line only

2 -1 2.42 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.34 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.57 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.60 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.29 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.37 73.0%
X	5.01 20.0%
	9.85 10.2%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.35 74.1%	1.37 73.0%	1.40 71.4%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.39 71.9%
X	4.35 23.0%	4.95 20.2%	5.02 19.9%	4.50 22.2%	5.00 20.0%	4.75 21.1%
	9.80 10.2%	9.00 11.1%	9.80 10.2%	9.50 10.5%	10.00 10.0%	10.75 9.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.62 61.7%	1.61 62.1%	1.55 64.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.60 62.5%	1.57 63.7%	1.62 61.7%	1.62 61.7%
yes	2.20 45.5%	2.33 42.9%	2.32 43.1%	2.25 44.4%	2.20 45.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.41 41.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	3.00 33.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.20 31.3%	3.20 31.3%
home_away	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%	1.18 84.8%	1.17 85.5%	1.19 84.0%	1.14 87.7%
home_draw	1.05 95.2%	1.08 92.6%	1.06 94.3%	1.06 94.3%	1.08 92.6%	1.04 96.2%

Match center

Real Madrid

L W W W W

21.02 17:30 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 1:2 Osasuna

14.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 4:1 Real Sociedad

08.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Valencia

01.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:1 Rayo Vallecano

24.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Villarreal

4 Wins

0 Draws

1 Losses

2.2 Scored

0.8 Conceded

12 Points

Getafe

L W W D D

22.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 0:1 Sevilla

14.02 15:15 UTC La Liga

Getafe 2:1 Villarreal

08.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 2:0 Alaves

01.02 17:30 UTC La Liga

Getafe 0:0 Selta

26.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 1:1 Girona

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.0 Scored

0.6 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Getafe

Real Madrid

2 matches total

Getafe

Real Madrid: 2 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Getafe: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Real Madrid 1:0 (19.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 19.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

19.10 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Real Madrid

1:0

Getafe

23.04 19:30 UTC

La Liga

Real Madrid

1:0

Getafe