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La Liga
La Liga Spain
14.05.2025 19:30 UTC Match prediction
14.05.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Madrid - Mallorca

Spain Football
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2 : 1
Finished
Mallorca
Mallorca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Mallorca May 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.40 / X 5.08 / 2 8.08
  • 1X2 market: Real Madrid 69.0% / X 19.0% / Mallorca 12.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 69.0%
X 19.0%
2 12.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 60.0%
Under 2.5 40.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.05.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Real Madrid - Mallorca

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 8.08 market consensus · line only
X 5.08 market consensus · line only
1 1.40 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 3.19 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.11 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.61 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.42 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.40 71.4%
X 5.08 19.7%
8.08 12.4%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 3.19 31.4%
home_away 1.20 83.3%
home_draw 1.11 90.1%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 1.61 62.1%
Under 2.5 2.42 41.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.14 87.7%
6.53 15.3%
Match center
Real Madrid
L W W W W
11.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 3:4 BarselonaBarselona
04.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 3:2 SeltaSelta
23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:0 GetafeGetafe
20.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
13.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:0 AlavesAlaves
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.2 Conceded
12 Points
Mallorca
W L L D W
10.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:1 Valladolid
05.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:1 GironaGirona
22.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:1 BarselonaBarselona
19.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:0 Leganes
12.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.6 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Mallorca

Real Madrid
0 matches total
Mallorca
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history