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La Liga Spain

30.08.2025 19:30 UTC Match prediction

30.08.2025 19:30 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Madrid - Mallorca

Spain Football

Real Madrid

2 : 1

Finished

Mallorca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Mallorca August 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.19 / X 7.10 / 2 14.85
1X2 market: Real Madrid 80.0% / X 13.5% / Mallorca 6.5%
Total 2.5: over probability 64.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%

1 80.1%

X 13.4%

2 6.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.7%

Over 2.5 63.9%

Under 2.5 36.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.08.2025 19:30 UTC

Match center

Real Madrid - Mallorca

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 7.13 market consensus · line only

1 1.19 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 4.70 market consensus · line only

12 1.10 market consensus · line only

1X 1.03 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 4.58 market consensus · line only

2 -1 3.60 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.19 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.29 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.48 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.62 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.65 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.17 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.19 84.0%
X	7.50 13.3%
	15.19 6.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.19 84.0%	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%	1.20 83.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.21 82.6%
X	7.20 13.9%	6.30 15.9%	7.85 12.7%	6.50 15.4%	7.50 13.3%	7.10 14.1%
	12.00 8.3%	15.00 6.7%	16.50 6.1%	15.00 6.7%	13.00 7.7%	18.50 5.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.67 59.9%	1.61 62.1%	1.68 59.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.70 58.8%	1.65 60.6%	1.60 62.5%	1.66 60.2%	1.65 60.6%
yes	2.10 47.6%	2.34 42.7%	2.09 47.9%	2.25 44.4%	2.05 48.8%	2.15 46.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.09 47.9%	2.26 44.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	4.50 22.2%	5.05 19.8%	4.60 21.7%	4.33 23.1%	4.90 20.4%	5.05 19.8%
home_away	1.09 91.7%	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%	1.10 90.9%	1.11 90.1%	1.11 90.1%
home_draw	1.03 97.1%	1.04 96.2%	1.03 97.1%	1.04 96.2%	1.04 96.2%	1.03 97.1%

Match center

Real Madrid

W W W W W

24.08 19:30 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 3:0 Oviedo

19.08 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 1:0 Osasuna

24.05 14:15 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Real Sociedad

18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Sevilla

14.05 19:30 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:1 Mallorca

5 Wins

0 Draws

0 Losses

2.0 Scored

0.2 Conceded

15 Points

Mallorca

D L D L L

23.08 15:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:1 Selta

16.08 17:30 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 0:3 Barselona

24.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 0:0 Rayo Vallecano

18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:2 Getafe

14.05 19:30 UTC La Liga

Mallorca 1:2 Real Madrid

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.6 Scored

1.6 Conceded

2 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Mallorca

Real Madrid

1 matches total

Mallorca

Real Madrid: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Mallorca: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Real Madrid 2:1 (14.05 19:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 14.05 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

14.05 19:30 UTC

La Liga

Real Madrid

2:1

Mallorca