La Liga
La Liga Spain
01.09.2024 19:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Madrid - Реал Бетис

Spain Futbol
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2 : 0
Finished
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Реал Бетис 1 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.23 / X 6.72 / 2 12.90
  • 1X2 market: Real Madrid 78.2% / X 14.3% / Реал Бетис 7.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.9%
1 78.2%
X 14.3%
2 7.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 01.09.2024 19:30 UTC
Match center

Real Madrid - Реал Бетис

H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

2/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
pending Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X 6.72 market consensus · line only
1 1.23 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 4.49 market consensus · line only
12 1.14 market consensus · line only
1X 1.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.23 81.3%
Х 6.72 14.9%
П2 12.90 7.8%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 4.49 22.3%
home_away 1.14 87.7%
home_draw 1.05 95.2%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.20 45.5%
ТМ 3.5 1.72 58.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.07 93.5%
П2 10.58 9.5%