La Liga
La Liga Spain
04.01.2026 15:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Madrid - Реал Бетис

Spain Futbol
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
5 : 1
Finished
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Реал Бетис 4 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.49 / X 4.58 / 2 6.22
  • 1X2 market: Real Madrid 63.9% / X 20.8% / Реал Бетис 15.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 63.9%
X 20.8%
2 15.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%
Over 2.5 62.2%
Under 2.5 37.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 04.01.2026 15:15 UTC
Match center

Real Madrid - Реал Бетис

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.27 market consensus · line only
X 4.57 market consensus · line only
1 1.49 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.62 market consensus · line only
12 1.20 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.61 market consensus · line only
2 -1 2.07 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 5.45 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.49 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.50 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.18 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.65 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.50 66.7%
Х 4.55 22.0%
П2 7.00 14.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.50 66.7% 1.52 65.8% 1.53 65.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4%
Х 4.50 22.2% 4.80 20.8% 4.69 21.3% 4.50 22.2% 4.60 21.7% 4.60 21.7%
П2 5.80 17.2% 5.50 18.2% 6.11 16.4% 6.00 16.7% 6.00 16.7% 6.50 15.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.14 46.7% 2.15 46.5% 2.20 45.5% 2.15 46.5% 2.25 44.4% 2.12 47.2% 2.26 44.3%
yes 1.62 61.7% 1.71 58.5% 1.70 58.8% 1.62 61.7% 1.62 61.7% 1.65 60.6% 1.60 62.5% 1.64 61.0% 1.69 59.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.50 40.0% 2.59 38.6% 2.63 38.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.62 38.2% 2.67 37.5%
home_away 1.15 87.0% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.13 88.5% 1.14 87.7% 1.15 87.0% 1.14 87.7%
Match center
Real Madrid
W W L W D
20.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:0 SevillaSevilla
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Real Madrid 2:1 AlavesAlaves
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Real Madrid 0:2 SeltaSelta
03.12 18:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 3:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
30.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:1 GironaGirona
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Реал Бетис
W D L W D
21.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 4:0 GetafeGetafe
15.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 0:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
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Реал Бетис 3:5 BarselonaBarselona
30.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 2:0 SevillaSevilla
23.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 1:1 GironaGirona
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Реал Бетис

Real Madrid
1 matches total
Реал Бетис
Real Madrid: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Реал Бетис: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Real Madrid 2:0 (01.09 19:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 01.09 19:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

01.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Реал Бетис