La Liga
La Liga Spain
24.05.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Madrid - Real Sociedad

Spain Futbol
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
2 : 0
Finished
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 24 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.45 / X 5.15 / 2 6.68
  • 1X2 market: Real Madrid 66.7% / X 18.8% / Real Sociedad 14.5%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.4%
1 66.7%
X 18.8%
2 14.5%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.05.2025 14:15 UTC
Match center

Real Madrid - Real Sociedad

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.68 market consensus · line only
X 5.15 market consensus · line only
1 1.45 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.95 market consensus · line only
12 1.21 market consensus · line only
1X 1.13 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.45 69.0%
Х 5.15 19.4%
П2 6.68 15.0%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.95 33.9%
home_away 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 1.13 88.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 3.5 2.06 48.5%
ТМ 3.5 1.85 54.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.18 84.8%
П2 5.39 18.6%
Match center
Real Madrid
W W L W W
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:0 SevillaSevilla
14.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
11.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 3:4 BarselonaBarselona
04.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 3:2 SeltaSelta
23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:0 GetafeGetafe
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
Real Sociedad
W L L D L
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:2 GironaGirona
13.05 18:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 SeltaSelta
10.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:4 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
04.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 AlavesAlaves
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Real Sociedad

Real Madrid
1 matches total
Real Sociedad
Real Madrid: 1 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Real Sociedad: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Real Madrid 2:0 (14.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (2:0, 14.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 0
0 Goals conceded 2

Match history

14.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Real Sociedad