Match center
Start
14.02.2026 20:00 UTC
14.02.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Real Madrid - Real Sociedad
4
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Madrid - Real Sociedad 14 февраля 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.33 / X 5.55 / 2 8.51
- 1X2 market: Real Madrid 71.6% / X 17.2% / Real Sociedad 11.2%
- Total 2.5: over probability 65.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
71.6%
X
17.2%
2
11.2%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 6.1%
Over 2.5
65.0%
Under 2.5
35.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Real Madrid - Real Sociedad
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
3
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
8.50
market consensus · line only
X
5.56
market consensus · line only
1
1.33
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.37
market consensus · line only
12
1.15
market consensus · line only
1X
1.08
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
3.30
market consensus · line only
2 -1
2.69
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
7.07
market consensus · line only
1 -0.5
1.33
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.45
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.69
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.03
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.75
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.35 74.1% |
| Х | 5.71 17.5% |
| П2 | 8.37 12.0% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 1.33 75.2% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.35 74.1% |
| Х | 5.30 18.9% | 5.50 18.2% | 5.88 17.0% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.75 17.4% | 5.80 17.2% |
| П2 | 7.60 13.2% | 8.60 11.6% | 9.10 11.0% | 8.50 11.8% | 8.00 12.5% | 9.00 11.1% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.10 47.6% | 2.11 47.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.98 50.5% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.11 47.4% |
| yes | 1.70 58.8% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.78 56.2% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.81 55.3% | 1.79 55.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.10 32.3% | 3.44 29.1% | 3.30 30.3% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.40 29.4% |
| home_away | 1.11 90.1% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.14 87.7% | 1.15 87.0% | 1.11 90.1% |
| home_draw | 1.08 92.6% | 1.09 91.7% | 1.06 94.3% | 1.08 92.6% | 1.10 90.9% | 1.05 95.2% |
Match center
Real Madrid
W
W
W
W
W
08.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Valencia
Valencia
01.02 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:1
Rayo Vallecano
Rayo Vallecano
24.01 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Villarreal
Villarreal
17.01 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Леванте
Леванте
04.01 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
5:1
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
5
Wins
0
Draws
0
Losses
2.6
Scored
0.4
Conceded
15
Points
Real Sociedad
W
D
W
W
W
07.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
3:1
Эльче
Эльче
01.02 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:1
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
25.01 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
3:1
Selta
Selta
18.01 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
2:1
Barselona
Barselona
09.01 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
2:1
Getafe
Getafe
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.2
Scored
1.0
Conceded
13
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Real Sociedad
Real Madrid
3
matches total
Real Madrid: 3 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Real Sociedad: 0 (0%)
Biggest win
Real Madrid 2:0 (24.05 14:15 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
3 goals (2:1, 13.09 14:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
13.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:1
Real Sociedad
24.05 14:15 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Real Sociedad
14.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Real Sociedad