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La Liga Spain

20.12.2025 20:00 UTC Match prediction

20.12.2025 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Madrid - Sevilla

Spain Football

Real Madrid

2 : 0

Finished

Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Madrid - Sevilla December 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.19 / X 7.54 / 2 13.64
1X2 market: Real Madrid 80.2% / X 12.7% / Sevilla 7.1%
Total 2.5: over probability 68.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.6%

1 80.3%

X 12.7%

2 7.0%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.6%

Over 2.5 68.9%

Under 2.5 31.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.12.2025 20:00 UTC

Match center

Real Madrid - Sevilla

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

X 7.59 market consensus · line only

1 1.19 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 4.73 market consensus · line only

12 1.10 market consensus · line only

1X 1.04 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 4.45 market consensus · line only

2 -1 3.83 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.18 market consensus · line only

1 -1 1.23 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.36 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 3.02 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.83 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.93 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.18 84.8%
X	8.18 12.2%
	15.10 6.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.19 84.0%	1.19 84.0%	1.23 81.3%	1.20 83.3%	1.18 84.8%	1.21 82.6%
X	7.30 13.7%	7.80 12.8%	7.70 13.0%	7.00 14.3%	8.00 12.5%	7.50 13.3%
	11.50 8.7%	14.00 7.1%	13.70 7.3%	12.00 8.3%	13.00 7.7%	15.00 6.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.85 54.1%	1.79 55.9%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.95 51.3%	1.80 55.6%	1.87 53.5%	1.79 55.9%	1.81 55.3%
yes	1.90 52.6%	2.03 49.3%	1.92 52.1%	1.91 52.4%	1.80 55.6%	1.95 51.3%	1.87 53.5%	1.92 52.1%	2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	4.50 22.2%	4.70 21.3%	4.40 22.7%	4.33 23.1%	4.80 20.8%	4.75 21.1%
home_away	1.09 91.7%	1.12 89.3%	1.11 90.1%	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%	1.10 90.9%
home_draw	1.03 97.1%	1.04 96.2%	1.04 96.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.05 95.2%	1.04 96.2%