Match center
Start
05.10.2024 19:00 UTC
05.10.2024 19:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Real Madrid - Villarreal
2
:
0
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Madrid - Villarreal 5 октября 2024
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.27 / X 6.51 / 2 10.19
- 1X2 market: Real Madrid 75.8% / X 14.8% / Villarreal 9.4%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 3.9%
1
75.8%
X
14.8%
2
9.4%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Real Madrid - Villarreal
Form
5/4
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
X
6.51
market consensus · line only
1
1.27
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
3.90
market consensus · line only
12
1.15
market consensus · line only
1X
1.08
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Match Winner
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.27 78.7% |
| Х | 6.51 15.4% |
| П2 | 10.19 9.8% |
Double chance
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| draw_away | 3.90 25.6% |
| home_away | 1.15 87.0% |
| home_draw | 1.08 92.6% |
Goals Over/Under
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| ТБ 4.5 | 2.95 33.9% |
| ТМ 4.5 | 1.42 70.4% |
Home/Away
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 1.09 91.7% |
| П2 | 8.50 11.8% |
Match center
Real Madrid
D
W
W
W
W
29.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
1:1
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
24.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
3:2
Alaves
Alaves
21.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
4:1
Espanyol
Espanyol
14.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
01.09 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Madrid
2:0
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис
4
Wins
1
Draws
0
Losses
2.4
Scored
0.8
Conceded
13
Points
Villarreal
W
W
L
W
30.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
3:1
Las Palmas
Las Palmas
26.09 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
2:1
Espanyol
Espanyol
22.09 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
1:5
Barselona
Barselona
14.09 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Villarreal
2:1
Mallorca
Mallorca
3
Wins
0
Draws
1
Losses
2.0
Scored
2.0
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Madrid - Villarreal
Real Madrid
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals