Match center
Start
04.01.2026 20:00 UTC
04.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Real Sociedad - Атлетико Мадрид
1
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Атлетико Мадрид 4 января 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Атлетико Мадрид.
Line favourite market consensus: Атлетико Мадрид. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 4.03 / X 3.66 / 2 1.89
- 1X2 market: Real Sociedad 23.6% / X 26.0% / Атлетико Мадрид 50.4%
- Total 2.5: over probability 52.3%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
23.6%
X
26.0%
2
50.4%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.4%
Over 2.5
52.3%
Under 2.5
47.7%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Real Sociedad - Атлетико Мадрид
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
2
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
1.89
market consensus · line only
X
3.67
market consensus · line only
1
4.04
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.25
market consensus · line only
12
1.28
market consensus · line only
1X
1.92
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.28
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.05
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
1.88
market consensus · line only
2 +1
2.67
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
1.83
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
2.01
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
2.07
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.72
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| П1 | 4.19 23.9% |
| Х | 3.78 26.5% |
| П2 | 1.90 52.6% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| П1 | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.22 23.7% | 3.90 25.6% | 3.80 26.3% | 4.15 24.1% |
| Х | 3.70 27.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.80 26.3% | 3.75 26.7% |
| П2 | 1.85 54.1% | 1.89 52.9% | 1.94 51.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.93 51.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.05 48.8% | 2.16 46.3% | 2.07 48.3% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.04 49.0% | 2.10 47.6% |
| yes | 1.73 57.8% | 1.71 58.5% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.69 59.2% | 1.79 55.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.26 79.4% |
| home_away | 1.22 82.0% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.27 78.7% | 1.30 76.9% |
| home_draw | 1.91 52.4% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.95 51.3% |
Match center
Real Sociedad
D
L
L
L
W
20.12 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:1
Леванте
Леванте
12.12 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:2
Girona
Girona
06.12 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
0:1
Alaves
Alaves
30.11 13:00 UTC
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Real Sociedad
2:3
Villarreal
Villarreal
22.11 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
3:1
Osasuna
Osasuna
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.4
Scored
1.6
Conceded
4
Points
Атлетико Мадрид
W
W
L
L
W
21.12 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
3:0
Girona
Girona
13.12 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
2:1
Valencia
Valencia
06.12 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
0:1
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
02.12 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
1:3
Barselona
Barselona
29.11 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Атлетико Мадрид
2:0
Oviedo
Oviedo
3
Wins
0
Draws
2
Losses
1.6
Scored
1.0
Conceded
9
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Атлетико Мадрид
Real Sociedad
2
matches total
Real Sociedad: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Атлетико Мадрид: 1 (50%)
Biggest win
Atletiko Madrid 0:4 (10.05 19:00 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
4 goals (0:4, 10.05 19:00 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
1:1 (06.10 19:00 UTC)
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
10.05 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Real Sociedad
0:4
Atletiko Madrid
06.10 19:00 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:1
Atletiko Madrid