Free access Sign in to unlock the full prediction Create a free account to see the full AI breakdown, probabilities, risks and history.
La Liga
La Liga Spain
24.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Sociedad - Espanyol

Spain Football
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
2 : 2
Finished
Espanyol
Espanyol

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Espanyol August 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.78 / X 3.51 / 2 4.92
  • 1X2 market: Real Sociedad 53.5% / X 27.1% / Espanyol 19.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 55.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 53.5%
X 27.1%
2 19.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.8%
Over 2.5 44.2%
Under 2.5 55.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 24.08.2025 17:30 UTC
Match center

Real Sociedad - Espanyol

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.94 market consensus · line only
X 3.52 market consensus · line only
1 1.78 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.06 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.18 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.57 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.70 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.71 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.78 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.78 56.2%
X 3.60 27.8%
5.22 19.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.76 56.8% 1.78 56.2% 1.84 54.4% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.64 27.5% 3.40 29.4% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2%
4.85 20.6% 4.95 20.2% 5.02 19.9% 4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0% 4.90 20.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.81 55.3%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.97 50.8% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 2.06 48.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.07 48.3%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.33 75.2% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.28 78.1% 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.21 82.6% 1.18 84.8% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Real Sociedad
D L W L L
16.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 ValenciaValencia
24.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:2 GironaGirona
13.05 18:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 SeltaSelta
10.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:4 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
2.0 Conceded
4 Points
Espanyol
W W L L L
17.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
24.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 OsasunaOsasuna
15.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 0:2 BarselonaBarselona
11.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Espanyol 2:3 Leganes
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Espanyol

Real Sociedad
0 matches total
Espanyol
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history