La Liga Spain

22.04.2026 18:00 UTC Match prediction Prediction

22.04.2026 18:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Sociedad - Getafe

Spain Futbol

Stadium Аноэта

Real Sociedad

0 : 1

Finished

Getafe

🎯 PropickAI prediction

Our model prediction (Glicko-2)

1 Real Sociedad — 44%

1 · Real Sociedad43.9%

X · draw27.9%

2 · Getafe28.2%

Model estimate: win Real Sociedad 43.9%, draw 27.9%, win Getafe 28.2%. Model favourite — Real Sociedad.

Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Getafe 22 апреля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Strongest: Real Sociedad - market and Glicko agree

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.21 / X 3.06 / 2 3.60
1X2 market: Real Sociedad 42.7% / X 31.0% / Getafe 26.3%
Glicko: Real Sociedad 43.9% / X 27.9% / Getafe 28.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 63.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%

1 42.8%

X 30.9%

2 26.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.8%

Over 2.5 39.4%

Under 2.5 60.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Model consensus

Лидер исходов AI: П1

Main outcome П1

Agreement 5/7

Confidence 52.6%

Total ТБ 2.5

Score 2:1

Модели не полностью совпадают, поэтому прогноз нужно сверять с рынком и линией.

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Match center

Start 22.04.2026 18:00 UTC

Stadium Аноэта (Сан-Себастьян)

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🥊 Humans vs Machines

📐 Math model Real Sociedad 44%

💹 Market Real Sociedad 4274%

Every pick locked before kickoff · public log

Match center

Real Sociedad - Getafe

Real Sociedad: Победа 2.15 Real Sociedad: Ничья 2.90 Getafe Победа: 3.30 Общий тотал голов больше 2.5: 2.38 Общий тотал голов меньше 2.5: 1.57 Индивидуальный тотал голов Real Sociedad больше 1.5: 2.50 Индивидуальный тотал голов Real Sociedad меньше 1.5: 1.50 Индивидуальный тотал…

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 4 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

yes Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Post-match / SStats

Score 0:1

Events 5

Statistics 24

Lineups 43

min Event Player Team

14' 14' Missed Penalty | Brais Méndez | assist/sub out: Brais Méndez Real Sociedad

27' 27' Yellow Card | Abdelkabir Abqar Getafe

29' 29' Own Goal | Jon Gorrotxategi Getafe

31' 31' Yellow Card | Orri Steinn Óskarsson Real Sociedad

37' 37' Yellow Card | Juan Iglesias Getafe

Metric Real Sociedad Getafe SStats

Ожидаемые голы (xG) 1.89 0.12 final

Заблокированные удары 4 1 final

Удары мимо 5 4 final

Удары в створ 4 0 final

Удары всего 13 5 final

Фолы совершено 13 22 final

Желтые карточки 4 5 final

Офсайды 5 1 final

Real Sociedad #2 D. Dakonam, #3 A. Abqar, #5 L. Milla, #6 M. Martin, #8 M. Arambarri, #10 M. Satriano, #13 D. Soria, #15 S. Boselli, #17 Kiko Femenia, #19 L. Vazquez, #21 J. Iglesias

Getafe #1 ГЃlex Remiro, #3 Aihen MuГ±oz, #4 Jon Gorrotxategi, #6 Elustondo, #9 O. Г“skarsson, #14 T. Kubo, #15 Pablo MarГn, #16 D. Caleta-Car, #18 Carlos Soler, #23 Brais MГ©ndez, #31 Jon MartГn

Player Team Metric SStats

A. Abqar Real Sociedad football.player.assists 0

A. Abqar Real Sociedad Дриблинг попытки 4

A. Abqar Real Sociedad Единоборства всего 1

A. Abqar Real Sociedad Единоборства выиграно 6

A. Abqar Real Sociedad Фолы совершено 2

A. Abqar Real Sociedad Сейвы 0

A. Abqar Real Sociedad football.player.minutes_played 80

A. Abqar Real Sociedad Ключевые пасы 18

A. Abqar Real Sociedad Рейтинг (старый) 6.9

A. Abqar Real Sociedad Блоки 1

Market and Glicko

Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Outcome Line Glicko Signal

Real Sociedad 44.7% 43.9% market and model agree

Draw 30.5% 27.9% draw risk

Getafe 24.8% 28.2%

xG - 1.31 : 0.99

Total 2.5 Over 63.6% - Under 36.4%

Model check - - Difference 0.03

Draw-trap risk Favourite-trap risk The match leans toward a high total Market vs Glicko gap: 0.03

Glicko-2 - рейтинговая модель силы: сравнивает линию, историю и стабильность, но не дает гарантий.

Football math model

P1 / X / P2 43.9% / 27.9% / 28.2% outcome probabilities; the draw is not highlighted as value

Rating 1,534 / 1,517 Real Sociedad / Getafe

RD 73 / 73 rating uncertainty

HFA: - HFA mu: - MoV: - N: N=1 P: glicko2_expected

Best value: value не найден

The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.60 market consensus · no value · model 28.2%

X 3.06 market consensus · draw accounted for as risk, not as a signal

1 2.21 market consensus · no value · model 43.9%

Double chance

X2 1.67 market consensus · no value · model 56.1%

12 1.35 market consensus · no value · model 72.1%

1X 1.28 market consensus · no value · model 71.8%

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.67 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.30 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.49 market consensus · line only

2 +1 7.19 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.40 market consensus · weak value +52.7% · model 63.6%

Under 2.5 1.56 market consensus · no value · model 36.4%

Both teams to score

No 1.74 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
П1	2.18 45.9%	2.31 43.3%	2.15 46.5%	2.15 46.5%	2.27 44.1%	2.20 45.5%
Х	3.05 32.8%	3.18 31.5%	3.10 32.3%	2.90 34.5%	3.00 33.3%	3.00 33.3%
П2	3.55 28.2%	3.74 26.7%	3.50 28.6%	3.30 30.3%	3.65 27.4%	3.60 27.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.73 57.8%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.70 58.8%	1.74 57.5%	1.70 58.8%
yes	2.00 50.0%	1.98 50.5%	2.05 48.8%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.00 50.0%	1.98 50.5%	2.05 48.8%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.65 60.6%	1.69 59.2%	1.70 58.8%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.62 61.7%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.41 70.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.28 78.1%	1.32 75.8%	1.25 80.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.31 76.3%	1.29 77.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
ТБ 0.5	1.10 90.9%	1.06 94.3%
ТБ 0.75	—	1.08 92.6%
ТБ 1.0	—	1.11 90.1%
ТБ 1.25	—	1.27 78.7%
ТБ 1.5	1.48 67.6%	1.46 68.5%
ТБ 1.75	—	1.55 64.5%
ТБ 2.0	—	1.74 57.5%
ТБ 2.25	—	2.02 49.5%
ТБ 2.5	2.38 42.0%	—
ТБ 3.5	4.50 22.2%	—
ТБ 4.5	9.00 11.1%	—
ТМ 0.5	6.50 15.4%	—
ТМ 1.5	2.65 37.7%	—
ТМ 2.5	1.57 63.7%	—
ТМ 3.5	1.20 83.3%	—
ТМ 4.5	1.05 95.2%	—

Match center

Real Sociedad

Founded 1909

Getafe

Founded 1983

Match center

Real Sociedad

D W L W L

11.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 3:3 Alaves

04.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 2:0 Леванте

20.03 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:3 Villarreal

15.03 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 3:1 Osasuna

07.03 17:30 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 2:3 Atletiko Madrid

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

2.2 Scored

2.0 Conceded

7 Points

Getafe

L W W L W

13.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 0:1 Леванте

05.04 12:00 UTC La Liga

Getafe 2:0 Athletic Club

21.03 15:15 UTC La Liga

Getafe 2:1 Espanyol

14.03 15:15 UTC La Liga

Getafe 0:1 Atletiko Madrid

08.03 15:15 UTC La Liga

Getafe 2:0 Реал Бетис

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

0.6 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Getafe

Real Sociedad

2 matches total

Getafe

Real Sociedad: 1 (50%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Getafe: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Real Sociedad 2:1 (09.01 20:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 09.01 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 0:0 (01.09 17:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

2 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 2

Match history

09.01 20:00 UTC

La Liga

Real Sociedad

2:1

Getafe

01.09 17:15 UTC

La Liga

Real Sociedad

0:0

Getafe

Match center

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The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.