La Liga Spain

18.05.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction

18.05.2025 17:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Sociedad - Girona

Spain Futbol

Real Sociedad

3 : 2

Finished

Girona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Girona 18 мая 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.59 / 2 4.59
1X2 market: Real Sociedad 51.7% / X 27.1% / Girona 21.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 52.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%

1 51.7%

X 27.1%

2 21.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.3%

Over 2.5 52.3%

Under 2.5 47.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 18.05.2025 17:00 UTC

Match center

Real Sociedad - Girona

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.59 market consensus · line only

X 3.59 market consensus · line only

1 1.88 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.01 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.23 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.05 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.88 53.2%
Х	3.59 27.9%
П2	4.59 21.8%

Double chance

Outcome	SStats Consensus
draw_away	2.01 49.8%
home_away	1.33 75.2%
home_draw	1.23 81.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5	1.87 53.5%
ТМ 2.5	2.05 48.8%

Home/Away

Outcome	SStats Consensus
П1	1.37 73.0%
П2	3.29 30.4%

Match center

Real Sociedad

L L D L D

13.05 18:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 0:1 Selta

10.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 0:4 Atletiko Madrid

04.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 0:0 Athletic Club

23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 0:1 Alaves

20.04 14:15 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 2:2 Villarreal

0 Wins

2 Draws

3 Losses

0.4 Scored

1.6 Conceded

2 Points

Girona

W L W D L

13.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Girona 1:0 Valladolid

10.05 16:30 UTC La Liga

Girona 0:1 Villarreal

05.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Girona 1:0 Mallorca

24.04 17:00 UTC La Liga

Girona 1:1 Leganes

21.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Girona 1:3 Реал Бетис

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

0.8 Scored

1.0 Conceded

7 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Girona

Real Sociedad

1 matches total

Girona

Real Sociedad: 1 (100%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Girona: 0 (0%)

Biggest win Real Sociedad 1:0 (19.10 16:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (1:0, 19.10 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 0

0 Goals conceded 1

Match history

19.10 16:30 UTC

La Liga

Real Sociedad

1:0

Girona