La Liga
La Liga Spain
12.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Sociedad - Girona

Spain Futbol
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
1 : 2
Finished
Girona
Girona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Girona 12 декабря 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.72 / X 3.75 / 2 4.93
  • 1X2 market: Real Sociedad 55.3% / X 25.4% / Girona 19.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 50.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 55.3%
X 25.4%
2 19.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 49.2%
Under 2.5 50.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.12.2025 20:00 UTC
Match center

Real Sociedad - Girona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.94 market consensus · line only
X 3.76 market consensus · line only
1 1.73 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.14 market consensus · line only
12 1.27 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.16 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.65 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.45 market consensus · line only
2 +1 9.70 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.95 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.89 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.91 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.85 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.74 57.5%
Х 3.84 26.0%
П2 5.06 19.8%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.72 58.1% 1.74 57.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.70 58.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1%
Х 3.70 27.0% 3.85 26.0% 3.91 25.6% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3% 3.90 25.6%
П2 4.85 20.6% 4.85 20.6% 5.23 19.1% 4.75 21.1% 4.75 21.1% 5.10 19.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.91 52.4% 1.93 51.8% 1.89 52.9% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.93 51.8%
yes 1.83 54.6% 1.88 53.2% 1.83 54.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.91 52.4% 1.87 53.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.93 51.8%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.05 48.8% 2.19 45.7% 2.10 47.6% 2.05 48.8% 2.15 46.5% 2.17 46.1%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.25 80.0% 1.26 79.4% 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.18 84.8% 1.18 84.8% 1.20 83.3% 1.19 84.0%
Match center
Real Sociedad
L L W D W
06.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 AlavesAlaves
30.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 2:3 VillarrealVillarreal
22.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:1 OsasunaOsasuna
07.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 ЭльчеЭльче
01.11 17:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:2 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.6 Conceded
7 Points
Girona
L D D W L
07.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 0:3 ЭльчеЭльче
30.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
23.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
08.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:0 AlavesAlaves
31.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Girona 1:2 GetafeGetafe
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Girona

Real Sociedad
2 matches total
Girona
Real Sociedad: 2 (100%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Girona: 0 (0%)
Biggest win Real Sociedad 3:2 (18.05 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (3:2, 18.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 4

Match history

18.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad
3:2
Girona
19.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:0
Girona