La Liga
Our model prediction (Glicko-2)
1 Real Sociedad — 58%
Model estimate: win Real Sociedad 57.9%, draw 22.8%, win Levante 19.3%. Model favourite — Real Sociedad.
Informational estimate, not a betting recommendation.
Math-model prediction
Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.
For reference
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
Model consensus
Modeli dayut edinyy signal. Takie matchi my pomechaem kak bolee silnye.
Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: $1
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Real Sociedad: Win 1.57 Real Sociedad: Draw 4.20 Levante Win: 5.25 Obschiy total golov bolshe 2.5: 1.67 Obschiy total golov menshe 2.5: 2.20 Individualnyy total golov Real Sociedad bolshe 1.5: 1.62 Individualnyy total golov Real Sociedad menshe 1.5: 2.20 Individualnyy tota…
Football math model. The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Glicko-2 is a team-strength rating: it weighs the line, history and consistency, but is not a guarantee.
Best value: no value found
The football model compares the market, Glicko-2, Poisson/xG, home advantage and tempo. The draw is accounted for as match risk but is not presented as a separate signal. Green value on an outcome means a mathematical edge, not a prediction guarantee.
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1.59 62.9% | 1.61 62.1% | 1.64 61.0% | 1.60 62.5% | 1.57 63.7% | 1.67 59.9% | |
| X | 4.00 25.0% | 4.50 22.2% | 4.37 22.9% | 4.00 25.0% | 4.20 23.8% | 4.30 23.3% |
| 5.30 18.9% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.64 17.7% | 5.00 20.0% | 5.25 19.1% | 5.20 19.2% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | BetVictor | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 2.15 46.5% | 2.14 46.7% | 2.08 48.1% | 2.05 48.8% | 2.00 50.0% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.20 45.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.06 48.5% |
| yes | 1.65 60.6% | 1.72 58.1% | 1.68 59.5% | 1.73 57.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.67 59.9% | 1.62 61.7% | 1.65 60.6% | 1.68 59.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 2.30 43.5% | 2.40 41.7% | 2.25 44.4% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% | 2.30 43.5% |
| home_away | 1.20 83.3% | 1.25 80.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.22 82.0% | 1.23 81.3% | 1.20 83.3% |
| home_draw | 1.15 87.0% | 1.18 84.8% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.17 85.5% | 1.19 84.0% | 1.13 88.5% |
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 1.04 96.2% | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 0.75 | — | — | 1.00 100.0% |
| Over 1.0 | — | — | 1.01 99.0% |
| Over 1.25 | — | — | 1.08 92.6% |
| Over 1.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | 1.17 85.5% |
| Over 1.75 | — | — | 1.22 82.0% |
| Over 2.5 | 1.62 61.7% | — | — |
| Over 2.75 | — | 1.83 54.6% | — |
| Over 3.5 | 2.55 39.2% | — | — |
| Over 4.5 | 4.50 22.2% | — | — |
| Under 0.5 | 10.00 10.0% | — | — |
| Under 1.5 | 4.33 23.1% | — | — |
| Under 2.5 | 2.25 44.4% | — | — |
| Under 2.75 | — | 2.07 48.3% | — |
| Under 3.5 | 1.50 66.7% | — | — |
| Under 4.5 | 1.20 83.3% | — | — |
Real Sociedad
Levante
Real Sociedad
Levante
Real Sociedad
Villarreal
Osasuna
Atletiko Madrid
Mallorca
Oviedo
Levante
Oviedo
Rayo Vallecano
Girona
Alaves
Barselona
Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Levante
La Liga
Levante
The tournament summary is shown from SStats while the donor comparison is not collected yet.
The Real Sociedad - Levante breakdown — outcomes, probabilities, risks and history — is available after a free sign-in.
