La Liga
La Liga Spain
12.04.2025 12:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Sociedad - Mallorca

Spain Futbol
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
0 : 2
Finished
Mallorca
Mallorca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Mallorca 12 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.97 / X 3.18 / 2 4.69
  • 1X2 market: Real Sociedad 49.0% / X 30.4% / Mallorca 20.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.5%
1 49.0%
X 30.4%
2 20.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 12.04.2025 12:00 UTC
Match center

Real Sociedad - Mallorca

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.69 market consensus · line only
X 3.18 market consensus · line only
1 1.97 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.90 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.22 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.97 50.8%
Х 3.18 31.5%
П2 4.69 21.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.90 52.6%
home_away 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.22 82.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 1.54 64.9%
ТМ 1.5 2.56 39.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.36 73.5%
П2 3.27 30.6%
Match center
Real Sociedad
W L W D W
06.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:1 Las PalmasLas Palmas
27.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:2 OsasunaOsasuna
19.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:0 GironaGirona
06.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:0 ValenciaValencia
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points
Mallorca
L D W L W
05.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 SeltaSelta
28.10 20:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
20.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
05.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 EspanyolEspanyol
27.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:1 Valladolid
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.0 Conceded
7 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Mallorca

Real Sociedad
1 matches total
Mallorca
Real Sociedad: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Mallorca: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Mallorca 0:1 (17.09 17:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 17.09 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1
1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

17.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad
0:1
Mallorca