La Liga
La Liga Spain
24.09.2025 19:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Sociedad - Mallorca

Spain Futbol
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
1 : 0
Finished
Mallorca
Mallorca

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Mallorca 24 сентября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.77 / X 3.56 / 2 4.96
  • 1X2 market: Real Sociedad 54.0% / X 26.8% / Mallorca 19.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 54.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.7%
1 53.9%
X 26.8%
2 19.2%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.5%
Over 2.5 45.3%
Under 2.5 54.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.09.2025 19:30 UTC
Match center

Real Sociedad - Mallorca

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.97 market consensus · line only
X 3.56 market consensus · line only
1 1.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.07 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.19 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.58 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 4.69 market consensus · line only
1 -0.5 1.76 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.11 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.75 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.79 55.9%
Х 3.58 27.9%
П2 5.10 19.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 1.73 57.8% 1.74 57.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1%
Х 3.55 28.2% 3.60 27.8% 3.84 26.0% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6% 3.50 28.6%
П2 4.90 20.4% 5.30 18.9% 5.07 19.7% 4.75 21.1% 5.00 20.0% 5.10 19.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.77 56.5% 1.87 53.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.85 54.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 1.94 51.6% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.94 51.6% 2.03 49.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 2.05 48.8% 2.14 46.7% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.14 46.7%
home_away 1.22 82.0% 1.31 76.3% 1.30 76.9% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.17 85.5% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.20 83.3% 1.19 84.0%
Match center
Real Sociedad
L L L D D
19.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:3 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
13.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
30.08 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 OviedoOviedo
24.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 2:2 EspanyolEspanyol
16.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 ValenciaValencia
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.8 Conceded
2 Points
Mallorca
D L L D L
21.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 2:3 EspanyolEspanyol
30.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
23.08 15:00 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 1:1 SeltaSelta
16.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Mallorca 0:3 BarselonaBarselona
0 Wins
2 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
2.0 Conceded
2 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Mallorca

Real Sociedad
2 matches total
Mallorca
Real Sociedad: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Mallorca: 2 (100%)
Biggest win Mallorca 0:2 (12.04 12:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 12.04 12:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 3
3 Goals conceded 0

Match history

12.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad
0:2
Mallorca
17.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad
0:1
Mallorca