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La Liga
La Liga Spain
27.10.2024 20:00 UTC Match prediction
27.10.2024 20:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Sociedad - Osasuna

Spain Football
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
0 : 2
Finished
Osasuna
Osasuna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Osasuna October 27, 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.72 / X 3.69 / 2 5.60
  • 1X2 market: Real Sociedad 56.4% / X 26.3% / Osasuna 17.3%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.1%
1 56.4%
X 26.3%
2 17.3%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 42.9%
Under 2.5 57.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 27.10.2024 20:00 UTC
Match center

Real Sociedad - Osasuna

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.60 market consensus · line only
X 3.69 market consensus · line only
1 1.72 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.23 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.18 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.26 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.70 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.72 58.1%
X 3.69 27.1%
5.60 17.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.23 44.8%
home_away 1.32 75.8%
home_draw 1.18 84.8%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.26 44.3%
Under 2.5 1.70 58.8%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.26 79.4%
4.12 24.3%
Match center
Real Sociedad
W D W D L
19.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:0 GironaGirona
06.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 3:0 ValenciaValencia
21.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:0 Valladolid
17.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.0 Scored
0.4 Conceded
8 Points
Osasuna
L D W D W
19.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:2 Real BetisReal Betis
05.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 1:1 GetafeGetafe
28.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 4:2 BarselonaBarselona
24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 0:0 ValenciaValencia
21.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Osasuna 2:1 Las PalmasLas Palmas
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.2 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Osasuna

Real Sociedad
0 matches total
Osasuna
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history