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La Liga Spain

15.03.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

15.03.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Sociedad - Osasuna

Spain Football

Real Sociedad

3 : 1

Finished

Osasuna

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Osasuna March 15, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.92 / X 3.54 / 2 4.08
1X2 market: Real Sociedad 49.7% / X 26.9% / Osasuna 23.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%

1 49.7%

X 26.9%

2 23.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.4%

Over 2.5 49.6%

Under 2.5 50.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 15.03.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Real Sociedad - Osasuna

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 4.08 market consensus · line only

X 3.54 market consensus · line only

1 1.92 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.89 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 1.24 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.93 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.48 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.89 market consensus · line only

2 +1 8.20 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.93 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.90 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.00 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.76 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.95 51.3%
X	3.60 27.8%
	4.20 23.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	1.90 52.6%	1.94 51.6%	1.97 50.8%	1.85 54.1%	1.90 52.6%	1.95 51.3%
X	3.50 28.6%	3.60 27.8%	3.66 27.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.60 27.8%	3.60 27.8%
	3.90 25.6%	4.05 24.7%	4.26 23.5%	3.90 25.6%	4.00 25.0%	4.20 23.8%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.00 50.0%	2.07 48.3%	1.98 50.5%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	2.02 49.5%	2.00 50.0%	1.96 51.0%	2.07 48.3%
yes	1.75 57.1%	1.77 56.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.81 55.3%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.85 54.1%	1.93 51.8%	1.85 54.1%	1.83 54.6%	1.91 52.4%	1.83 54.6%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.22 82.0%	1.25 80.0%	1.26 79.4%	1.22 82.0%

Match center

Real Sociedad

L W D L W

07.03 17:30 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 2:3 Atletiko Madrid

28.02 17:30 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:0 Mallorca

21.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 3:3 Oviedo

14.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:4 Real Madrid

07.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 3:1 Elche

2 Wins

1 Draws

2 Losses

2.0 Scored

2.2 Conceded

7 Points

Osasuna

D L W D W

07.03 13:00 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 2:2 Mallorca

01.03 15:15 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 0:1 Valencia

21.02 17:30 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 2:1 Real Madrid

13.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 0:0 Elche

06.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Osasuna 2:1 Selta

2 Wins

2 Draws

1 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.0 Conceded

8 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Osasuna

Real Sociedad

2 matches total

Osasuna

Real Sociedad: 1 (50%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Osasuna: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Real Sociedad 3:1 (22.11 17:30 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 4 goals (3:1, 22.11 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 3

3 Goals conceded 3

Match history

22.11 17:30 UTC

La Liga

Real Sociedad

3:1

Osasuna

27.10 20:00 UTC

La Liga

Real Sociedad

0:2

Osasuna