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La Liga Spain

21.02.2026 13:00 UTC Match prediction

21.02.2026 13:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Sociedad - Oviedo

Spain Football

Real Sociedad

3 : 3

Finished

Oviedo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Oviedo February 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.60 / X 3.83 / 2 6.97
1X2 market: Real Sociedad 60.7% / X 25.4% / Oviedo 13.9%
Total 2.5: over probability 53.7%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%

1 60.7%

X 25.4%

2 13.9%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 2.9%

Over 2.5 46.3%

Under 2.5 53.7%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.02.2026 13:00 UTC

Match center

Real Sociedad - Oviedo

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 6.95 market consensus · line only

X 3.86 market consensus · line only

1 1.59 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 2.48 market consensus · line only

12 1.30 market consensus · line only

1X 1.12 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 2.54 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.81 market consensus · line only

1 -0.5 1.58 market consensus · line only

1 -1 2.09 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.10 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.75 market consensus · line only

Yes 2.07 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	1.58 63.3%
X	3.95 25.3%
	6.86 14.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
	1.63 61.4%	1.58 63.3%	1.58 63.3%
X	3.58 27.9%	3.95 25.3%	3.95 25.3%
	7.20 13.9%	6.86 14.6%	6.86 14.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	1.71 58.5%	1.78 56.2%
yes	2.02 49.5%	2.12 47.2%

Double chance

Outcome	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus
draw_away	2.38 42.0%	2.53 39.5%	2.53 39.5%
home_away	1.33 75.2%	1.29 77.5%	1.29 77.5%
home_draw	1.11 90.1%	1.13 88.5%	1.13 88.5%

Match center

Real Sociedad

L W D W W

14.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:4 Real Madrid

07.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 3:1 Elche

01.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 1:1 Athletic Club

25.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 3:1 Selta

18.01 20:00 UTC La Liga

Real Sociedad 2:1 Barselona

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

2.0 Scored

1.6 Conceded

10 Points

Oviedo

L W L L D

15.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 1:2 Athletic Club

31.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 1:0 Girona

25.01 15:15 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 0:3 Barselona

17.01 17:30 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 2:3 Osasuna

10.01 13:00 UTC La Liga

Oviedo 1:1 Real Betis

1 Wins

1 Draws

3 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.8 Conceded

4 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Oviedo

Real Sociedad

1 matches total

Oviedo

Real Sociedad: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Oviedo: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Oviedo 0:1 (30.08 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 30.08 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

30.08 17:00 UTC

La Liga

Real Sociedad

0:1

Oviedo