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Start
05.10.2025 16:30 UTC
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05.10.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano October 5, 2025
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.
Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.14 / X 3.35 / 2 3.52
- 1X2 market: Real Sociedad 44.5% / X 28.5% / Rayo Vallecano 27.1%
- Total 2.5: over probability 53.0%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 5.0%
1
44.5%
X
28.4%
2
27.1%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.3%
Over 2.5
47.0%
Under 2.5
53.0%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
0
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
pending
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
3.53
market consensus · line only
X
3.35
market consensus · line only
1
2.14
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.73
market consensus · line only
12
1.33
market consensus · line only
1X
1.31
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.77
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.33
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
3.47
market consensus · line only
2 +1
6.70
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.04
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.81
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.94
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.82
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.15 46.5% | |
| X | 3.41 29.3% |
| 3.69 27.1% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.12 47.2% | 2.12 47.2% | 2.23 44.8% | 2.15 46.5% | 2.10 47.6% | 2.12 47.2% | |
| X | 3.35 29.9% | 3.45 29.0% | 3.49 28.7% | 3.25 30.8% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.30 30.3% |
| 3.45 29.0% | 3.60 27.8% | 3.57 28.0% | 3.40 29.4% | 3.50 28.6% | 3.60 27.8% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.95 51.3% | 1.86 53.8% | 1.96 51.0% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.95 51.3% | 2.00 50.0% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.94 51.6% | 2.02 49.5% |
| yes | 1.77 56.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.77 56.5% | 1.85 54.1% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | 888Sport | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.70 58.8% | 1.74 57.5% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.70 58.8% | 1.75 57.1% | 1.74 57.5% |
| home_away | 1.28 78.1% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.33 75.2% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.35 74.1% |
| home_draw | 1.30 76.9% | 1.34 74.6% | 1.30 76.9% | 1.28 78.1% | 1.31 76.3% | 1.33 75.2% |
Match center
Real Sociedad
L
W
L
L
L
28.09 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:2
Barselona
Barselona
24.09 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:0
Mallorca
Mallorca
19.09 19:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:3
Real Betis
Real Betis
13.09 14:15 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
1:2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
30.08 17:00 UTC
La Liga
Real Sociedad
0:1
Oviedo
Oviedo
1
Wins
0
Draws
4
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.6
Conceded
3
Points
Rayo Vallecano
L
L
D
L
D
28.09 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:1
Sevilla
Sevilla
24.09 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
2:3
Atletiko Madrid
Atletiko Madrid
21.09 12:00 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Selta
Selta
14.09 16:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
0:2
Osasuna
Osasuna
31.08 19:30 UTC
La Liga
Rayo Vallecano
1:1
Barselona
Barselona
0
Wins
2
Draws
3
Losses
0.8
Scored
1.6
Conceded
2
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano
Real Sociedad
0
matches total
Biggest win
—
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
—
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Match history
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