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La Liga
La Liga Spain
24.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Sociedad - Sevilla

Spain Football
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
2 : 1
Finished
Sevilla
Sevilla

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Sevilla October 24, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.02 / X 3.44 / 2 3.82
  • 1X2 market: Real Sociedad 47.2% / X 27.8% / Sevilla 25.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 51.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.8%
1 47.3%
X 27.8%
2 25.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%
Over 2.5 48.7%
Under 2.5 51.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.10.2025 19:00 UTC
Match center

Real Sociedad - Sevilla

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.83 market consensus · line only
X 3.44 market consensus · line only
1 2.02 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.81 market consensus · line only
12 1.32 market consensus · line only
1X 1.28 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.86 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.73 market consensus · line only
2 +1 6.97 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.97 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.87 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.99 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.77 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.02 49.5%
X 3.52 28.4%
3.99 25.1%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
1.98 50.5% 2.04 49.0% 2.09 47.9% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.07 48.3%
X 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2% 3.52 28.4% 3.30 30.3% 3.50 28.6% 3.55 28.2%
3.75 26.7% 3.70 27.0% 3.94 25.4% 3.70 27.0% 3.60 27.8% 3.80 26.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.95 51.3% 2.06 48.5% 1.97 50.8% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.95 51.3% 2.12 47.2%
yes 1.75 57.1% 1.77 56.5% 1.76 56.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.76 56.8% 1.78 56.2%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.73 57.8% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6%
home_away 1.25 80.0% 1.35 74.1% 1.33 75.2% 1.28 78.1% 1.29 77.5% 1.34 74.6%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5% 1.28 78.1% 1.30 76.9% 1.29 77.5%
Match center
Real Sociedad
D L L W L
19.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:1 SeltaSelta
05.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:2 BarselonaBarselona
24.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:0 MallorcaMallorca
19.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 1:3 Real BetisReal Betis
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
4 Points
Sevilla
L W W L W
18.10 12:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:3 MallorcaMallorca
05.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 4:1 BarselonaBarselona
28.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
23.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:1 AlavesAlaves
3 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
1.8 Scored
1.4 Conceded
9 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Sevilla

Real Sociedad
0 matches total
Sevilla
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history