La Liga
La Liga Spain
28.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Real Sociedad - Valencia

Spain Futbol
Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad
3 : 0
Finished
Valencia
Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Valencia 28 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Sociedad.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Sociedad. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.88 / X 3.29 / 2 5.17
  • 1X2 market: Real Sociedad 51.7% / X 29.5% / Valencia 18.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 51.7%
X 29.5%
2 18.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 28.09.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Real Sociedad - Valencia

Form 4/3 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 5.17 market consensus · line only
X 3.29 market consensus · line only
1 1.88 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.00 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.20 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.88 53.2%
Х 3.29 30.4%
П2 5.17 19.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.00 50.0%
home_away 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.20 83.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 1.5 1.59 62.9%
ТМ 1.5 2.49 40.2%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.32 75.8%
П2 3.64 27.5%
Match center
Real Sociedad
D L L D
21.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:0 Valladolid
17.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:1 MallorcaMallorca
14.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
01.09 17:15 UTC La Liga
Real Sociedad 0:0 GetafeGetafe
0 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.8 Conceded
2 Points
Valencia
D W L
24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:0 OsasunaOsasuna
21.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 2:0 GironaGirona
15.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
1 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.0 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyReal Sociedad - Valencia

Real Sociedad
0 matches total
Valencia
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history