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La Liga Spain

30.11.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction

30.11.2025 13:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Real Sociedad - Villarreal

Spain Football

Real Sociedad

2 : 3

Finished

Villarreal

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Real Sociedad - Villarreal November 30, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Villarreal.

Line favourite market consensus: Villarreal. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.82 / X 3.30 / 2 2.54
1X2 market: Real Sociedad 33.8% / X 28.8% / Villarreal 37.4%
Total 2.5: over probability 50.0%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%

1 33.7%

X 28.8%

2 37.4%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.2%

Over 2.5 50.0%

Under 2.5 50.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 30.11.2025 13:00 UTC

Match center

Real Sociedad - Villarreal

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.54 market consensus · line only

X 3.31 market consensus · line only

1 2.82 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.44 market consensus · line only

12 1.33 market consensus · line only

1X 1.52 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.45 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.18 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.48 market consensus · line only

2 +1 3.96 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.92 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 2.13 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.67 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.91 34.4%
X	3.37 29.7%
	2.58 38.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.76 36.2%	2.80 35.7%	2.92 34.3%	2.75 36.4%	2.75 36.4%	2.82 35.5%
X	3.35 29.9%	3.35 29.9%	3.43 29.2%	3.20 31.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.25 30.8%
	2.50 40.0%	2.59 38.6%	2.62 38.2%	2.50 40.0%	2.50 40.0%	2.57 38.9%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	Marathonbet	Pinnacle
no	2.10 47.6%	2.20 45.5%	2.11 47.4%	2.10 47.6%	2.10 47.6%	2.12 47.2%	2.15 46.5%	2.08 48.1%	2.23 44.8%
yes	1.67 59.9%	1.68 59.5%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.71 58.5%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Marathonbet
draw_away	1.42 70.4%	1.46 68.5%	1.44 69.4%	1.44 69.4%	1.45 69.0%	1.47 68.0%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.36 73.5%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.32 75.8%	1.36 73.5%
home_draw	1.50 66.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.50 66.7%	1.44 69.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.56 64.1%