La Liga
La Liga Spain
20.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Sevilla - Alaves

Spain Futbol
Sevilla
Sevilla
1 : 1
Finished
Alaves
Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sevilla - Alaves 20 апреля 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sevilla.

Line favourite market consensus: Sevilla. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.01 / X 3.16 / 2 4.66
  • 1X2 market: Sevilla 48.4% / X 30.8% / Alaves 20.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 62.4%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 48.4%
X 30.8%
2 20.9%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%
Over 2.5 37.6%
Under 2.5 62.4%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 20.04.2025 16:30 UTC
Match center

Sevilla - Alaves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 4.66 market consensus · line only
X 3.16 market consensus · line only
1 2.01 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.88 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.23 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.57 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.55 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.01 49.8%
Х 3.16 31.7%
П2 4.66 21.5%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.88 53.2%
home_away 1.40 71.4%
home_draw 1.23 81.3%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.57 38.9%
ТМ 2.5 1.55 64.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.38 72.5%
П2 3.22 31.1%
Match center
Sevilla
L L W L W
11.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:1 ValenciaValencia
06.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:5 BarselonaBarselona
06.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Alaves
L W L L L
13.04 14:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
05.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:0 GironaGirona
26.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
18.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:3 Valladolid
06.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:3 BarselonaBarselona
1 Wins
0 Draws
4 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySevilla - Alaves

Sevilla
1 matches total
Alaves
Sevilla: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Alaves: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Alaves 1:2 (20.09 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (1:2, 20.09 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2
2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla
1:2
Alaves