La Liga
La Liga Spain
14.02.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Sevilla - Alaves

Spain Futbol
Sevilla
Sevilla
1 : 1
Finished
Alaves
Alaves

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sevilla - Alaves 14 февраля 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sevilla.

Line favourite market consensus: Sevilla. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.11 / X 3.07 / 2 3.97
  • 1X2 market: Sevilla 45.1% / X 31.0% / Alaves 23.9%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.2%
1 45.1%
X 31.0%
2 24.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 39.9%
Under 2.5 60.1%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.02.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Sevilla - Alaves

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 3 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.98 market consensus · line only
X 3.07 market consensus · line only
1 2.11 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.74 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.25 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.34 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.81 market consensus · line only
2 +1 8.00 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.39 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.76 market consensus · line only
Yes 2.01 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.16 46.3%
Х 3.11 32.2%
П2 4.11 24.3%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.00 50.0% 2.11 47.4% 2.17 46.1% 2.05 48.8% 2.10 47.6% 2.15 46.5%
Х 3.00 33.3% 3.15 31.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.05 32.8%
П2 4.20 23.8% 4.00 25.0% 4.12 24.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.00 25.0% 3.95 25.3%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.75 57.1% 1.80 55.6% 1.72 58.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.75 57.1% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.71 58.5% 1.81 55.3%
yes 2.00 50.0% 2.02 49.5% 2.02 49.5% 2.00 50.0% 2.00 50.0% 1.98 50.5% 1.95 51.3% 2.02 49.5% 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.77 56.5% 1.73 57.8% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.67 59.9%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.40 71.4% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.36 73.5% 1.33 75.2%
home_draw 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.22 82.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.20 83.3%
Match center
Sevilla
D L W D L
08.02 15:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:1 GironaGirona
02.02 20:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:4 MallorcaMallorca
24.01 17:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
19.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:2 ЭльчеЭльче
12.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:1 SeltaSelta
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.8 Conceded
5 Points
Alaves
L W W L L
08.02 13:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:2 GetafeGetafe
30.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:1 EspanyolEspanyol
25.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Alaves 2:1 Реал БетисРеал Бетис
18.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 0:1 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
10.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Alaves 1:3 VillarrealVillarreal
2 Wins
0 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
6 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySevilla - Alaves

Sevilla
3 matches total
Alaves
Sevilla: 1 (33.3%)
Draws:1 (33.3%)
Alaves: 1 (33.4%)
Biggest win Sevilla 2:1 (20.09 16:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 3 goals (2:1, 20.09 16:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (20.04 16:30 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

4 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 4

Match history

20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla
2:1
Alaves
20.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla
1:1
Alaves
20.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla
1:2
Alaves