La Liga
La Liga Spain
24.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Sevilla - Athletic Club

Spain Futbol
Sevilla
Sevilla
2 : 1
Finished
Athletic Club
Athletic Club

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sevilla - Athletic Club 24 января 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.91 / X 2.99 / 2 2.68
  • 1X2 market: Sevilla 32.7% / X 31.9% / Athletic Club 35.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 60.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.1%
1 32.7%
X 31.8%
2 35.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.7%
Over 2.5 39.2%
Under 2.5 60.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 24.01.2026 17:30 UTC
Match center

Sevilla - Athletic Club

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 2 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.69 market consensus · line only
X 2.99 market consensus · line only
1 2.92 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.42 market consensus · line only
12 1.40 market consensus · line only
1X 1.48 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.43 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.14 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 2.62 market consensus · line only
2 +1 4.77 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.44 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.57 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.81 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.95 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 3.00 33.3%
Х 3.05 32.8%
П2 2.73 36.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 2.85 35.1% 2.95 33.9% 3.03 33.0% 2.88 34.7% 2.88 34.7% 2.92 34.3%
Х 3.00 33.3% 3.00 33.3% 3.09 32.4% 2.90 34.5% 2.90 34.5% 2.95 33.9%
П2 2.68 37.3% 2.69 37.2% 2.76 36.2% 2.63 38.0% 2.70 37.0% 2.70 37.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.83 54.6% 1.77 56.5% 1.83 54.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.75 57.1% 1.85 54.1%
yes 1.95 51.3% 1.99 50.3% 1.96 51.0% 1.91 52.4% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.96 51.0% 2.02 49.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.42 70.4% 1.44 69.4%
home_away 1.33 75.2% 1.42 70.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.40 71.4% 1.37 73.0% 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.45 69.0% 1.51 66.2% 1.44 69.4% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.51 66.2%
Match center
Sevilla
D L L L W
19.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:2 ЭльчеЭльче
12.01 20:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:1 SeltaSelta
04.01 13:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:3 ЛевантеЛеванте
20.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:2 Real MadridReal Madrid
14.12 13:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 4:0 OviedoOviedo
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Athletic Club
L D L L W
17.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:3 MallorcaMallorca
03.01 15:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:1 OsasunaOsasuna
22.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:2 EspanyolEspanyol
14.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:2 SeltaSelta
06.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:0 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySevilla - Athletic Club

Sevilla
2 matches total
Athletic Club
Sevilla: 0 (0%)
Draws:1 (50%)
Athletic Club: 1 (50%)
Biggest win Athletic Club 2:3 (17.08 17:30 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 5 goals (2:3, 17.08 17:30 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (29.09 14:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

3 Goals scored 4
4 Goals conceded 3

Match history

17.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla
2:3
Athletic Club
29.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla
1:1
Athletic Club