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La Liga
La Liga Spain
06.04.2025 14:15 UTC Match prediction
06.04.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Sevilla - Atletico Madrid

Spain Football
Sevilla
Sevilla
1 : 2
Finished
Atletico Madrid
Atletico Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sevilla - Atletico Madrid April 6, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Atletico Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Atletico Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.32 / X 3.28 / 2 2.37
  • 1X2 market: Sevilla 29.3% / X 29.7% / Atletico Madrid 41.0%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 57.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 29.3%
X 29.7%
2 41.0%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.0%
Over 2.5 42.2%
Under 2.5 57.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 06.04.2025 14:15 UTC
Match center

Sevilla - Atletico Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.37 market consensus · line only
X 3.28 market consensus · line only
1 3.32 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.37 market consensus · line only
12 1.38 market consensus · line only
1X 1.64 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.30 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.68 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.32 30.1%
X 3.28 30.5%
2.37 42.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.37 73.0%
home_away 1.38 72.5%
home_draw 1.64 61.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.30 43.5%
Under 2.5 1.68 59.5%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.32 43.1%
1.66 60.2%
Match center
Sevilla
W L W D W
25.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:0 EspanyolEspanyol
20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:5 BarselonaBarselona
06.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 Real BetisReal Betis
29.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:1 Valladolid
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
1.4 Conceded
10 Points
Atletico Madrid
L W D D W
27.10 16:30 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 0:1 Real BetisReal Betis
20.10 14:15 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 3:1 Leganes
06.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 1:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
29.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 1:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
26.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Atletico Madrid 1:0 SeltaSelta
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.2 Scored
0.8 Conceded
8 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySevilla - Atletico Madrid

Sevilla
0 matches total
Atletico Madrid
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history