La Liga
La Liga Spain
05.10.2025 14:15 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Sevilla - Barcelona

Spain Futbol
Sevilla
Sevilla
4 : 1
Finished
Barcelona
Barcelona

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sevilla - Barcelona 5 октября 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Barcelona.

Line favourite market consensus: Barcelona. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 5.57 / X 4.83 / 2 1.51
  • 1X2 market: Sevilla 17.1% / X 19.7% / Barcelona 63.2%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 67.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 4.9%
1 17.1%
X 19.7%
2 63.1%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 6.4%
Over 2.5 67.1%
Under 2.5 32.9%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 05.10.2025 14:15 UTC
Match center

Sevilla - Barcelona

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 1 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 1.51 market consensus · line only
X 4.84 market consensus · line only
1 5.58 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.16 market consensus · line only
12 1.19 market consensus · line only
1X 2.59 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.16 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.05 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 1.52 market consensus · line only
2 +1 1.80 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 1.40 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 2.86 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 2.46 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.51 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 5.76 17.4%
Х 5.00 20.0%
П2 1.51 66.2%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
П1 5.60 17.9% 5.10 19.6% 5.83 17.2% 5.50 18.2% 5.25 19.1% 5.70 17.5%
Х 4.75 21.1% 4.80 20.8% 4.97 20.1% 4.60 21.7% 5.00 20.0% 5.00 20.0%
П2 1.49 67.1% 1.57 63.7% 1.54 64.9% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 2.38 42.0% 2.53 39.5% 2.45 40.8% 2.45 40.8% 2.38 42.0% 2.35 42.6% 2.63 38.0% 2.41 41.5% 2.58 38.8%
yes 1.53 65.4% 1.53 65.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.50 66.7% 1.53 65.4% 1.55 64.5% 1.44 69.4% 1.50 66.7% 1.55 64.5%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.14 87.7% 1.17 85.5% 1.15 87.0% 1.17 85.5% 1.17 85.5% 1.16 86.2%
home_away 1.14 87.7% 1.21 82.6% 1.20 83.3% 1.17 85.5% 1.19 84.0% 1.21 82.6%
home_draw 2.55 39.2% 2.65 37.7% 2.50 40.0% 2.50 40.0% 2.57 38.9% 2.65 37.7%
Match center
Sevilla
W L W D W
28.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
23.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 VillarrealVillarreal
20.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:1 AlavesAlaves
12.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:2 ЭльчеЭльче
30.08 17:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:0 GironaGirona
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
10 Points
Barcelona
W W W W D
28.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 2:1 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
25.09 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:1 OviedoOviedo
21.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 3:0 GetafeGetafe
14.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 6:0 ValenciaValencia
31.08 19:30 UTC La Liga
Barcelona 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
4 Wins
1 Draws
0 Losses
3.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
13 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySevilla - Barcelona

Sevilla
1 matches total
Barcelona
Sevilla: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Barcelona: 1 (100%)
Biggest win Barselona 1:5 (20.10 19:00 UTC) largest score margin
Highest-scoring match 6 goals (1:5, 20.10 19:00 UTC) most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 5
5 Goals conceded 1

Match history

20.10 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla
1:5
Barselona