Match center
Start
12.01.2026 20:00 UTC
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12.01.2026 20:00 UTC
Finished
La Liga
Sevilla - Celta Vigo
0
:
1
Finished
Math-model prediction
AI match prediction Sevilla - Celta Vigo January 12, 2026
Football math modelBased on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sevilla.
Line favourite market consensus: Sevilla. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
- 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.57 / X 3.12 / 2 2.95
- 1X2 market: Sevilla 37.1% / X 30.5% / Celta Vigo 32.3%
- Total 2.5: over probability 57.5%
For reference
Fair probability (no margin)
Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome
bookmaker margin 4.9%
1
37.1%
X
30.6%
2
32.3%
Total 2.5
bookmaker margin 4.1%
Over 2.5
42.5%
Under 2.5
57.5%
Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.
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Match center
Sevilla - Celta Vigo
Form
5/5
recent games
H2H
1
head-to-head matches
Market
0
model / bookmakers
Football benchmark
What data is collected and where it is shown
yes
Match
Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat
shown: Overview
yes
Market / Glicko
model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal
shown: Overview
pending
Lineups and squad
Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt
shown: Lineups
yes
Form
Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore
shown: Form
yes
H2H
Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore
shown: H2H
pending
Tournament
Championat, Flashscore
shown: Tournament
pending
Player opinions
Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv
shown: Overview
pending
Live / postmatch
Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats
shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2
2.96
market consensus · line only
X
3.13
market consensus · line only
1
2.57
market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2
1.52
market consensus · line only
12
1.37
market consensus · line only
1X
1.40
market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5
1.54
market consensus · line only
2 -1
1.21
market consensus · line only
2 +0.5
2.86
market consensus · line only
2 +1
5.39
market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5
2.26
market consensus · line only
Under 2.5
1.67
market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No
1.87
market consensus · line only
Yes
1.88
market consensus · line only
Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.
Bookmaker line
Match markets
Market 1
| Outcome | SStats Consensus |
|---|---|
| 2.59 38.6% | |
| X | 3.16 31.7% |
| 3.08 32.5% |
Match Winner
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2.58 38.8% | 2.53 39.5% | 2.63 38.0% | 2.55 39.2% | 2.50 40.0% | 2.50 40.0% | |
| X | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.23 31.0% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.00 33.3% |
| 2.88 34.7% | 3.10 32.3% | 3.06 32.7% | 3.00 33.3% | 3.05 32.8% | 2.90 34.5% |
Both teams to score
| Outcome | 10Bet | 188Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Betfair | Marathonbet | Pinnacle | Unibet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| no | 1.83 54.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.80 55.6% | 1.90 52.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.83 54.6% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.96 51.0% |
| yes | 1.91 52.4% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.95 51.3% | 1.85 54.1% | 1.91 52.4% | 1.87 53.5% | 1.92 52.1% | 1.79 55.9% |
Double chance
| Outcome | 10Bet | 1xBet | Bet365 | Betano | Marathonbet | Pinnacle |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| draw_away | 1.48 67.6% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.50 66.7% | 1.55 64.5% | 1.54 64.9% | 1.55 64.5% |
| home_away | 1.30 76.9% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.35 74.1% | 1.39 71.9% | 1.40 71.4% |
| home_draw | 1.40 71.4% | 1.43 69.9% | 1.36 73.5% | 1.40 71.4% | 1.42 70.4% | 1.42 70.4% |
Match center
Sevilla
L
L
W
D
L
04.01 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Sevilla
0:3
Levante
Levante
20.12 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Sevilla
0:2
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
14.12 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Sevilla
4:0
Oviedo
Oviedo
07.12 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Sevilla
1:1
Valencia
Valencia
30.11 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Sevilla
0:2
Real Betis
Real Betis
1
Wins
1
Draws
3
Losses
1.0
Scored
1.6
Conceded
4
Points
Celta Vigo
W
D
W
W
L
03.01 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
4:1
Valencia
Valencia
20.12 13:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
0:0
Oviedo
Oviedo
14.12 15:15 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
2:0
Athletic Club
Athletic Club
07.12 20:00 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
2:0
Real Madrid
Real Madrid
30.11 17:30 UTC
La Liga
Celta Vigo
0:1
Espanyol
Espanyol
3
Wins
1
Draws
1
Losses
1.6
Scored
0.4
Conceded
10
Points
Match center
Full head-to-head historySevilla - Celta Vigo
Sevilla
1
matches total
Sevilla: 0 (0%)
Draws:0 (0%)
Celta Vigo: 1 (100%)
Biggest win
Selta 2:3 (10.05 14:15 UTC)
largest score margin
Highest-scoring match
5 goals (2:3, 10.05 14:15 UTC)
most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw
—
draw with the most goals
Overall statistics
Match history
10.05 14:15 UTC
La Liga
La Liga
Sevilla
2:3
Selta
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- Full AI consensus of 7 models
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