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La Liga
La Liga Spain
14.12.2025 13:00 UTC Match prediction
14.12.2025 13:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Sevilla - Oviedo

Spain Football
Sevilla
Sevilla
4 : 0
Finished
Oviedo
Oviedo

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sevilla - Oviedo December 14, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sevilla.

Line favourite market consensus: Sevilla. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.09 / X 3.17 / 2 3.90
  • 1X2 market: Sevilla 45.5% / X 30.1% / Oviedo 24.4%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 59.1%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%
1 45.6%
X 30.0%
2 24.4%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 4.6%
Over 2.5 41.0%
Under 2.5 59.0%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 14.12.2025 13:00 UTC
Match center

Sevilla - Oviedo

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.91 market consensus · line only
X 3.17 market consensus · line only
1 2.10 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.77 market consensus · line only
12 1.35 market consensus · line only
1X 1.26 market consensus · line only
Handicap
2 -0.5 1.78 market consensus · line only
2 -1 1.40 market consensus · line only
2 +0.5 3.78 market consensus · line only
2 +1 7.95 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.33 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.62 market consensus · line only
Both teams to score
No 1.79 market consensus · line only
Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.16 46.3%
X 3.13 32.0%
4.07 24.6%

Match Winner

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano
2.02 49.5% 2.12 47.2% 2.13 47.0% 2.00 50.0% 2.10 47.6% 2.18 45.9%
X 3.20 31.3% 3.20 31.3% 3.34 29.9% 3.25 30.8% 3.20 31.3% 3.10 32.3%
3.95 25.3% 3.90 25.6% 4.04 24.8% 3.60 27.8% 3.75 26.7% 4.10 24.4%

Both teams to score

Outcome 10Bet 188Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Betfair Marathonbet Pinnacle
no 1.80 55.6% 1.82 55.0% 1.77 56.5% 1.80 55.6% 1.80 55.6% 1.78 56.2% 1.80 55.6% 1.74 57.5% 1.82 55.0%
yes 1.95 51.3% 2.00 50.0% 1.96 51.0% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.95 51.3% 1.98 50.5% 2.07 48.3%

Double chance

Outcome 10Bet 1xBet 888Sport Bet365 Betano Marathonbet
draw_away 1.77 56.5% 1.79 55.9% 1.80 55.6% 1.73 57.8% 1.75 57.1% 1.81 55.3%
home_away 1.30 76.9% 1.38 72.5% 1.30 76.9% 1.33 75.2% 1.36 73.5% 1.39 71.9%
home_draw 1.25 80.0% 1.28 78.1% 1.25 80.0% 1.25 80.0% 1.27 78.7% 1.28 78.1%
Match center
Sevilla
D L L W L
07.12 15:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:1 ValenciaValencia
30.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:2 Real BetisReal Betis
24.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 EspanyolEspanyol
08.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 OsasunaOsasuna
01.11 15:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:3 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
1 Wins
1 Draws
3 Losses
0.6 Scored
1.6 Conceded
4 Points
Oviedo
D L D L D
05.12 20:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:0 MallorcaMallorca
29.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:2 Atletiko MadridAtletiko Madrid
23.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:0 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
09.11 13:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
03.11 20:00 UTC La Liga
Oviedo 0:0 OsasunaOsasuna
0 Wins
3 Draws
2 Losses
0.0 Scored
0.6 Conceded
3 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySevilla - Oviedo

Sevilla
0 matches total
Oviedo
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history