La Liga
La Liga Spain
06.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Sevilla - Реал Бетис

Spain Futbol
Sevilla
Sevilla
1 : 0
Finished
Реал Бетис
Реал Бетис

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sevilla - Реал Бетис 6 октября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sevilla.

Line favourite market consensus: Sevilla. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.77 / X 3.23 / 2 2.80
  • 1X2 market: Sevilla 35.1% / X 30.1% / Реал Бетис 34.8%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.8%
1 35.1%
X 30.1%
2 34.7%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.2%
Over 2.5 43.7%
Under 2.5 56.3%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 06.10.2024 16:30 UTC
Match center

Sevilla - Реал Бетис

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.80 market consensus · line only
X 3.23 market consensus · line only
1 2.77 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.50 market consensus · line only
12 1.37 market consensus · line only
1X 1.50 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.22 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.72 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 2.77 36.1%
Х 3.23 31.0%
П2 2.80 35.7%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.50 66.7%
home_away 1.37 73.0%
home_draw 1.50 66.7%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.22 45.1%
ТМ 2.5 1.72 58.1%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.93 51.8%
П2 1.93 51.8%
Match center
Sevilla
D W L W L
29.09 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:1 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
24.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:1 Valladolid
20.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 AlavesAlaves
14.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 GetafeGetafe
01.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:2 GironaGirona
2 Wins
1 Draws
2 Losses
1.0 Scored
1.2 Conceded
7 Points
Реал Бетис
W D L W W
29.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 1:0 EspanyolEspanyol
26.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 1:1 Las PalmasLas Palmas
23.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 1:2 MallorcaMallorca
18.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 2:1 GetafeGetafe
13.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Реал Бетис 2:0 Leganes
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
1.4 Scored
0.8 Conceded
10 Points