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La Liga
La Liga Spain
18.05.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
18.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Sevilla - Real Madrid

Spain Football
Sevilla
Sevilla
0 : 2
Finished
Real Madrid
Real Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sevilla - Real Madrid May 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.37 / X 3.84 / 2 2.12
  • 1X2 market: Sevilla 28.8% / X 25.3% / Real Madrid 45.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.9%
1 28.8%
X 25.3%
2 45.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Sevilla - Real Madrid

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 2.12 market consensus · line only
X 3.84 market consensus · line only
1 3.37 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.35 market consensus · line only
12 1.30 market consensus · line only
1X 1.80 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
3.37 29.7%
X 3.84 26.0%
2.12 47.2%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.35 74.1%
home_away 1.30 76.9%
home_draw 1.80 55.6%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 3.5 2.40 41.7%
Under 3.5 1.62 61.7%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.51 39.8%
1.57 63.7%
Match center
Sevilla
W L D L D
13.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
10.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:3 SeltaSelta
04.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 2:2 Leganes
24.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:1 OsasunaOsasuna
20.04 16:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:1 AlavesAlaves
1 Wins
2 Draws
2 Losses
1.2 Scored
1.4 Conceded
5 Points
Real Madrid
W L W W W
14.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 2:1 MallorcaMallorca
11.05 14:15 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 3:4 BarselonaBarselona
04.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 3:2 SeltaSelta
23.04 19:30 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:0 GetafeGetafe
20.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Real Madrid 1:0 Athletic ClubAthletic Club
4 Wins
0 Draws
1 Losses
2.0 Scored
1.4 Conceded
12 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySevilla - Real Madrid

Sevilla
0 matches total
Real Madrid
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history