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La Liga Spain

37 round 17.05.2026 17:00 UTC Match prediction

17.05.2026 17:00 UTC 37 round

Finished

La Liga

Sevilla - Real Madrid

Spain Football

Sevilla

0 : 1

Finished

Real Madrid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sevilla - Real Madrid May 17, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Real Madrid.

Line favourite market consensus: Real Madrid. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.19 / X 3.56 / 2 2.16
1X2 market: Sevilla 29.7% / X 26.6% / Real Madrid 43.7%
Total 2.5: over probability 56.3%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.7%

1 29.6%

X 26.6%

2 43.8%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.3%

Over 2.5 56.2%

Under 2.5 43.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Stadium Ramon Sanches Piskhuan (Sevilya, Spain), 40 844 zritelya (84% pri vmestimosti 48 649)

Referee Khose Sanches Martines

Start 17.05.2026 17:00 UTC

Match center

Sevilla - Real Madrid

Itogovyy protokol and rezultaty vstrechi Sevilya - Real Madrid, 17 maya 2026. Highlights and statistika matches, tochnyy schet. Championship Spain po futbolu (La Liga) 2025-2026, 37 round. Sevilya - Real Madrid, kto pobedil, onlayn translyatsiya matches.

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

5/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

yes Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 1.07 Fonbet · line only

X 9.00 Fonbet · line only

1 3.19 market consensus · line only

Double chance

12 1.06 Fonbet · line only

1X 8.50 Fonbet · line only

X2 1.01 Fonbet · line only

Handicap

2 +1 2.20 Fonbet · line only

2 0 1.06 Fonbet · line only

1 +1 1.67 Fonbet · line only

1 0 9.50 Fonbet · line only

Total

Over 2.5 1.69 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 2.17 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.45 Fonbet · line only

Yes 2.75 Fonbet · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

Open on Fonbet →

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
	3.05 32.8%	3.37 29.7%	3.10 32.3%	3.10 32.3%	3.25 30.8%	3.10 32.3%
X	3.55 28.2%	3.66 27.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.50 28.6%	3.70 27.0%	3.60 27.8%
	2.18 45.9%	2.24 44.6%	2.15 46.5%	2.10 47.6%	2.12 47.2%	2.10 47.6%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet	Unibet
no	2.35 42.6%	2.30 43.5%	2.25 44.4%	2.20 45.5%	2.35 42.6%	2.38 42.0%	2.30 43.5%	2.27 44.1%	2.30 43.5%
yes	1.55 64.5%	1.56 64.1%	1.60 62.5%	1.62 61.7%	1.55 64.5%	1.53 65.4%	1.53 65.4%	1.56 64.1%	1.56 64.1%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.36 73.5%	1.37 73.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.36 73.5%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%
home_away	1.25 80.0%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%	1.28 78.1%	1.29 77.5%	1.25 80.0%
home_draw	1.65 60.6%	1.72 58.1%	1.67 59.9%	1.67 59.9%	1.75 57.1%	1.67 59.9%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet
Over 0.5	1.04 96.2%	1.00 100.0%
Over 0.75	—	1.01 99.0%
Over 1.0	—	1.02 98.0%
Over 1.25	—	1.12 89.3%
Over 1.5	1.22 82.0%	1.20 83.3%
Over 1.75	—	1.26 79.4%
Over 2.0	—	1.31 76.3%
Over 2.25	—	1.56 64.1%
Over 2.5	1.67 59.9%	—
Over 3.5	2.70 37.0%	—
Over 4.5	4.75 21.1%	—
Under 0.5	10.00 10.0%	—
Under 1.5	4.20 23.8%	—
Under 2.5	2.15 46.5%	—
Under 3.5	1.45 69.0%	—
Under 4.5	1.18 84.8%	—

Match center

Sevilla

No home-team absences found in the prematch data.

Real Madrid

No away-team absences found in the prematch data.

Markan Travmirovannye Rodrigo Eder Militao Arda Gyuler

Match center

Sevilla

W W W L L

13.05 17:00 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 3:2 Villarreal

09.05 14:15 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 2:1 Espanyol

04.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:0 Real Sociedad

26.04 16:30 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:2 Osasuna

23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 0:2 Levante

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.4 Conceded

9 Points

Real Madrid

W L W D W

14.05 19:30 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Oviedo

10.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 0:2 Barselona

03.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:0 Espanyol

24.04 19:00 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 1:1 Real Betis

21.04 19:30 UTC La Liga

Real Madrid 2:1 Alaves

3 Wins

1 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

0.8 Conceded

10 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySevilla - Real Madrid

Sevilla

2 matches total

Real Madrid

Sevilla: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Real Madrid: 2 (100%)

Biggest win Real Madrid 0:2 (20.12 20:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (0:2, 20.12 20:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 4

4 Goals conceded 0

Match history

20.12 20:00 UTC

La Liga

Sevilla

0:2

Real Madrid

18.05 17:00 UTC

La Liga

Sevilla

0:2

Real Madrid

Match center

Tournament context: position, points, form, bracket and head-to-head history.

Team 1 Sevilla

Data 12 / 0 / 0 comparisons / table / bracket

Team 2 Real Madrid

36 Games 36

12 Wins 25

7 Draws 5

17 Losses 6

46 Scored 72

58 Conceded 33

43 Points 80

93.03 Attacks 117.21

43.75 Dangerous attacks 61.27

0 Big chances 0

11.25 Shots on goal 17.53

3.5 Shots on target 6.72

ya 1.83 0.14 Sendoffs 0.17 Goly Vinisius Zhunior 0:1 15' Nakazaniya Nemanya Gudel 48' Aleksis Sanches 80' Khuanlu Sanches 84' Lyusen Agume 90+4'

Sevilya Real Madrid 36 Games 36 12 Wins 25 7 Draws 5 17 Losses 6 46 Scored 72 58 Conceded 33 43 Points 80 93.03 Attacks 117.21 43.75 Dangerous attacks 61.27 0 Big chances 0 11.25 Shots on goal 17.53 3.5 Udary v stvor 6.72 0 Shtangi/perekladiny 0 4.86 Uglovye 6.44 2.75 Offsaydy 1.89 14.44 Foly 9.83 51.39 % vladeniya myachom 59.03 2.78 Warnings 1.83 0.14 Sendoffs 0.17 Goly Vinisius Zhunior 0:1 15' Nakazaniya Nemanya Gudel 48' Aleksis Sanches 80' Khuanlu Sanches 84' Lyusen Agume 90+4'