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La Liga Spain

21.03.2026 20:00 UTC Match prediction

21.03.2026 20:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Sevilla - Valencia

Spain Football

Sevilla

0 : 2

Finished

Valencia

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sevilla - Valencia March 21, 2026

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sevilla.

Line favourite market consensus: Sevilla. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.32 / X 3.10 / 2 3.37
1X2 market: Sevilla 41.1% / X 30.7% / Valencia 28.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 59.9%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 5.0%

1 41.0%

X 30.7%

2 28.3%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 5.1%

Over 2.5 40.2%

Under 2.5 59.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 21.03.2026 20:00 UTC

Match center

Sevilla - Valencia

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 2 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 3.39 market consensus · line only

X 3.10 market consensus · line only

1 2.31 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.62 market consensus · line only

12 1.36 market consensus · line only

1X 1.32 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.63 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.25 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 3.27 market consensus · line only

2 +1 6.55 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.37 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.78 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.97 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	2.24 44.6%
X	3.21 31.2%
	3.63 27.6%

Match Winner

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano
	2.30 43.5%	2.33 42.9%	2.41 41.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%	2.30 43.5%
X	3.00 33.3%	3.15 31.8%	3.18 31.5%	3.00 33.3%	3.20 31.3%	3.05 32.8%
	3.30 30.3%	3.40 29.4%	3.49 28.7%	3.25 30.8%	3.30 30.3%	3.45 29.0%

Both teams to score

Outcome	10Bet	188Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair	BetVictor	Marathonbet
no	1.80 55.6%	1.83 54.6%	1.77 56.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%	1.80 55.6%	1.80 55.6%	1.75 57.1%	1.75 57.1%
yes	1.95 51.3%	1.98 50.5%	1.96 51.0%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.95 51.3%	1.95 51.3%	2.00 50.0%	1.96 51.0%

Double chance

Outcome	10Bet	1xBet	888Sport	Bet365	Betano	Betfair
draw_away	1.57 63.7%	1.64 61.0%	1.62 61.7%	1.57 63.7%	1.65 60.6%	1.57 63.7%
home_away	1.30 76.9%	1.40 71.4%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.30 76.9%
home_draw	1.30 76.9%	1.35 74.1%	1.30 76.9%	1.33 75.2%	1.33 75.2%	1.30 76.9%

Match center

Sevilla

L D D W D

15.03 15:15 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 2:5 Barselona

08.03 17:30 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:1 Rayo Vallecano

01.03 17:30 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 2:2 Real Betis

22.02 13:00 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:0 Getafe

14.02 17:30 UTC La Liga

Sevilla 1:1 Alaves

1 Wins

3 Draws

1 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.8 Conceded

6 Points

Valencia

L W W L W

14.03 17:30 UTC La Liga

Valencia 0:1 Oviedo

08.03 20:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 3:2 Alaves

01.03 15:15 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:0 Osasuna

22.02 20:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:2 Villarreal

15.02 17:30 UTC La Liga

Valencia 2:0 Levante

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.4 Scored

1.0 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historySevilla - Valencia

Sevilla

2 matches total

Valencia

Sevilla: 0 (0%)

Draws:1 (50%)

Valencia: 1 (50%)

Biggest win Valencia 0:1 (11.04 19:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 2 goals (1:1, 07.12 15:15 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw 1:1 (07.12 15:15 UTC) draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

1 Goals scored 2

2 Goals conceded 1

Match history

07.12 15:15 UTC

La Liga

Sevilla

1:1

Valencia

11.04 19:00 UTC

La Liga

Sevilla

0:1

Valencia