La Liga
La Liga Spain
24.09.2024 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Sevilla - Valladolid

Spain Futbol
Sevilla
Sevilla
2 : 1
Finished
Valladolid
Valladolid

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Sevilla - Valladolid 24 сентября 2024

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Sevilla.

Line favourite market consensus: Sevilla. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 1.62 / X 3.94 / 2 6.28
  • 1X2 market: Sevilla 59.9% / X 24.6% / Valladolid 15.5%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 53.6%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.0%
1 59.9%
X 24.6%
2 15.5%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.1%
Over 2.5 46.4%
Under 2.5 53.6%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

Buy the full AI analysis

Full match breakdown: outcomes, market scenarios, form, lineups and key risks. During live you can get another, more accurate prediction accounting for the score, minute and tempo. Price: 100 RUB

Payment via YooKassa. After payment we will redirect you to a private link with the prediction.

Match center
Start 24.09.2024 17:00 UTC
Match center

Sevilla - Valladolid

Form 3/2 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 6.28 market consensus · line only
X 3.94 market consensus · line only
1 1.62 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 2.44 market consensus · line only
12 1.29 market consensus · line only
1X 1.15 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.09 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.81 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.62 61.7%
Х 3.94 25.4%
П2 6.28 15.9%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 2.44 41.0%
home_away 1.29 77.5%
home_draw 1.15 87.0%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
ТБ 2.5 2.09 47.9%
ТМ 2.5 1.81 55.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
П1 1.22 82.0%
П2 4.73 21.1%
Match center
Sevilla
L W L
20.09 19:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:2 AlavesAlaves
14.09 16:30 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 1:0 GetafeGetafe
01.09 17:00 UTC La Liga
Sevilla 0:2 GironaGirona
1 Wins
0 Draws
2 Losses
0.7 Scored
1.3 Conceded
3 Points
Valladolid
D L
21.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Valladolid 0:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
15.09 12:00 UTC La Liga
Valladolid 1:3 SeltaSelta
0 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.5 Scored
1.5 Conceded
1 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historySevilla - Valladolid

Sevilla
0 matches total
Valladolid
Biggest win largest score margin
Highest-scoring match most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw draw with the most goals

Match history