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La Liga
La Liga Spain
18.05.2025 17:00 UTC Match prediction
18.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Finished

La Liga

Spain

Valencia - Athletic Club

Spain Football
Valencia
Valencia
0 : 1
Finished
Athletic Club
Athletic Club

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Athletic Club May 18, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Valencia.

Line favourite market consensus: Valencia. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.
  • 1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 2.49 / X 3.01 / 2 3.41
  • 1X2 market: Valencia 39.1% / X 32.3% / Athletic Club 28.6%
  • Total 2.5: over probability 61.2%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.
1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 2.7%
1 39.1%
X 32.3%
2 28.6%
Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.5%
Over 2.5 38.8%
Under 2.5 61.2%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center
Start 18.05.2025 17:00 UTC
Match center

Valencia - Athletic Club

Form 5/5 recent games
H2H 0 head-to-head matches
Market 0 model / bookmakers
Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

3/8
yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview
yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview
pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups
yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form
pending H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H
pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament
pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview
pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match
Betting snapshot
1X2
2 3.41 market consensus · line only
X 3.01 market consensus · line only
1 2.49 market consensus · line only
Double chance
X2 1.60 market consensus · line only
12 1.43 market consensus · line only
1X 1.36 market consensus · line only
Total
Over 2.5 2.49 market consensus · line only
Under 2.5 1.58 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Match Winner

Outcome SStats Consensus
2.49 40.2%
X 3.01 33.2%
3.41 29.3%

Double chance

Outcome SStats Consensus
draw_away 1.60 62.5%
home_away 1.43 69.9%
home_draw 1.36 73.5%

Goals Over/Under

Outcome SStats Consensus
Over 2.5 2.49 40.2%
Under 2.5 1.58 63.3%

Home/Away

Outcome SStats Consensus
1.67 59.9%
2.30 43.5%
Match center
Valencia
L W W D D
14.05 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 0:1 AlavesAlaves
10.05 12:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 3:0 GetafeGetafe
03.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Valencia 3:2 Las PalmasLas Palmas
22.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 EspanyolEspanyol
19.04 12:00 UTC La Liga
Valencia 1:1 Rayo VallecanoRayo Vallecano
2 Wins
2 Draws
1 Losses
1.6 Scored
1.0 Conceded
8 Points
Athletic Club
W W D W L
15.05 19:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 2:0 GetafeGetafe
11.05 16:30 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:0 AlavesAlaves
04.05 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:0 Real SociedadReal Sociedad
23.04 17:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 1:0 Las PalmasLas Palmas
20.04 19:00 UTC La Liga
Athletic Club 0:1 Real MadridReal Madrid
3 Wins
1 Draws
1 Losses
0.8 Scored
0.2 Conceded
10 Points
Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Athletic Club

Valencia
0 matches total
Athletic Club
Biggest win — largest score margin
Highest-scoring match — most goals in a game
Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Match history