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La Liga Spain

20.09.2025 19:00 UTC Match prediction

20.09.2025 19:00 UTC

Finished

La Liga

Valencia - Athletic Club

Spain Football

Valencia

2 : 0

Finished

Athletic Club

Math-model prediction

AI match prediction Valencia - Athletic Club September 20, 2025

Football math model

Based on the collected prematch data, the favourite looks like Athletic Club.

Line favourite market consensus: Athletic Club. We cross-check with Glicko and the math model below.

1X2 odds (market consensus): 1 3.41 / X 3.06 / 2 2.40
1X2 market: Valencia 28.3% / X 31.5% / Athletic Club 40.2%
Total 2.5: over probability 60.8%

For reference

Fair probability (no margin)

Probability excluding the bookmaker margin — for reference, not a betting recommendation.

1X2 outcome bookmaker margin 3.7%

1 28.3%

X 31.5%

2 40.2%

Total 2.5 bookmaker margin 3.4%

Over 2.5 39.2%

Under 2.5 60.8%

Odds source: market consensus. This is the fair probability after removing the bookmaker margin from the odds — reference information, not a prediction or a betting recommendation.

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Match center

Start 20.09.2025 19:00 UTC

Match center

Valencia - Athletic Club

Form 5/5 recent games

H2H 1 head-to-head matches

Market 0 model / bookmakers

Football benchmark

What data is collected and where it is shown

4/8

yes Match Soccer365, Flashscore, Championat shown: Overview

yes Market / Glicko model, Winline, Olimpbet, BetExplorer, OddsPortal shown: Overview

pending Lineups and squad Soccer365, SportsMole, Flashscore, Transfermarkt shown: Lineups

yes Form Soccer365, Championat, Flashscore shown: Form

yes H2H Championat, Soccer365, Flashscore shown: H2H

pending Tournament Championat, Flashscore shown: Tournament

pending Player opinions Soccer365, LiveResult, Stavka.tv shown: Overview

pending Live / postmatch Fonbet, LiveResult, final stats shown: Overview / post-match

Betting snapshot

1X2

2 2.40 market consensus · line only

X 3.07 market consensus · line only

1 3.41 market consensus · line only

Double chance

X2 1.35 market consensus · line only

12 1.41 market consensus · line only

1X 1.61 market consensus · line only

Handicap

2 -0.5 1.35 market consensus · line only

2 -1 1.10 market consensus · line only

2 +0.5 2.38 market consensus · line only

2 +1 4.00 market consensus · line only

Total

Over 2.5 2.47 market consensus · line only

Under 2.5 1.59 market consensus · line only

Both teams to score

No 1.79 market consensus · line only

Yes 1.98 market consensus · line only

Betting notes are built from the line, market and our math model: take a signal only when the model and market agree.

Bookmaker line

Match markets

bookmaker line and markets

Market 1

Outcome	SStats Consensus
	3.46 28.9%
X	3.11 32.2%
	2.39 41.8%

Match Winner

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
	3.50 28.6%	3.42 29.2%	3.34 29.9%	3.46 28.9%	3.46 28.9%	3.25 30.8%
X	3.10 32.3%	3.11 32.2%	3.04 32.9%	3.11 32.2%	3.11 32.2%	2.90 34.5%
	2.30 43.5%	2.49 40.2%	2.43 41.2%	2.39 41.8%	2.39 41.8%	2.40 41.7%

Both teams to score

Outcome	188Bet	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	William Hill
no	1.83 54.6%	1.77 56.5%	1.75 57.1%	1.82 55.0%	1.80 55.6%
yes	1.98 50.5%	1.96 51.0%	1.96 51.0%	2.07 48.3%	1.95 51.3%

Double chance

Outcome	1xBet	Marathonbet	Pinnacle	SStats Consensus	William Hill
draw_away	1.36 73.5%	1.36 73.5%	1.35 74.1%	1.35 74.1%	1.33 75.2%
home_away	1.42 70.4%	1.41 70.9%	1.41 70.9%	1.41 70.9%	1.40 71.4%
home_draw	1.60 62.5%	1.60 62.5%	1.63 61.4%	1.63 61.4%	1.57 63.7%

Match center

Valencia

L W L D D

14.09 19:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 0:6 Barselona

29.08 19:30 UTC La Liga

Valencia 3:0 Getafe

24.08 15:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 0:1 Osasuna

16.08 19:30 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:1 Real Sociedad

23.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Valencia 1:1 Real Betis

1 Wins

2 Draws

2 Losses

1.0 Scored

1.8 Conceded

5 Points

Athletic Club

L W W W L

13.09 16:30 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:1 Alaves

31.08 17:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 2:1 Real Betis

25.08 17:30 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 1:0 Rayo Vallecano

17.08 17:30 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 3:2 Sevilla

25.05 19:00 UTC La Liga

Athletic Club 0:3 Barselona

3 Wins

0 Draws

2 Losses

1.2 Scored

1.4 Conceded

9 Points

Match center

Full head-to-head historyValencia - Athletic Club

Valencia

1 matches total

Athletic Club

Valencia: 0 (0%)

Draws:0 (0%)

Athletic Club: 1 (100%)

Biggest win Athletic Club 0:1 (18.05 17:00 UTC) largest score margin

Highest-scoring match 1 goals (0:1, 18.05 17:00 UTC) most goals in a game

Highest-scoring draw — draw with the most goals

Overall statistics

0 Goals scored 1

1 Goals conceded 0

Match history

18.05 17:00 UTC

La Liga

Valencia

0:1

Athletic Club